654
FXCN01 CWHF 160745
PERIOD OF COVERAGE: 0000Z 16 APR TO 1200Z 17 APR.
SFC COMMENTARY: AS ANALYZED.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS.
CONFIDENCE: MODERATE TO HIGH.
COMMENTS/IMPACTS:
WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SLIDING SOUTH OF NS THIS MORNING GIVING
A FEW SHOWERS AND GENERALLY LIGHT FLOW. AS THE TROUGH SCOOTS BY TO
THE EAST SKIES PARTIALLY CLEAR AND A SOUTHERLY SEA BREEZE IS
FORECAST TO SET UP THIS AFTERNOON. SEA BREEZE FRONT LIKELY TO SPAWN
A FEW POP UP SHOWERS A FEW KM INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS MAY
SPILL OVER INTO THE LOCAL AREA.
PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS FORECAST TO RETREAT TO THE APPROACHES THIS
MORNING THEN DISSIPATE AS WINDS TURN TO THE NW THIS EVENING.
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION VALID: 18 APR THRU 20 APR.
GOOD AGREEMENT IN LONG RANGE.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING INTO THE REGION THURSDAY.
NORTHERLY FLOW LIKELY TO GIVE SOME CLOUD COVER EARLY IN THE DAY,
BUT GUIDANCE SHOWING A GRADUAL EROSION OF THE CLOUDS AS DRIER AIR
BUILDS INTO THE REGION. RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE FOR FRIDAY
GIVING MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
IS POISED TO SPREAD INTO THE REGION SATURDAY GIVING AN INCREASING
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND RAIN. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES AMONGST THE
VARIOUS MODELS WITH THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE TROUGH.
END/METOC-HFX
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