334
WTNT32 KWNH 110253
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022024
1100 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2024
...POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLABND TAPERS OFF LATE...
..A COUPLE OF TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THE LATE EVENING
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...43.1N 80.3W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF BUFFALO NEW YORK
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM WSW OF MONTREAL QUEBEC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF...
* CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
* NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 20
MPH (31 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THE SYSTEM
WEAKENS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, SOME OF WHICH
MAY BE LOCALLY CONSIDERABLE, IN PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN NEW YORK
AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE TONIGHT. ISOLATED
MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
KEY MESSAGES FOR BERYL CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT2, WMO HEADER WTNT42 KNHC,
AND ON THE NHC WEBSITE AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT2.SHTML.
TORNADOES: A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING FROM THE
UPPER MID-ATLANTIC STATES INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND,
RAINFALL: HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS, IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
THROUGH NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH POST TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT2.SHTML?RAINQPF AND THE FLASH FLOOD RISK
GRAPHIC AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT2.SHTML?ERO
FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS (AND WIND REPORTS) ASSOCIATED
THIS STORM, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE
WMO HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML
NEXT ADVISORY
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THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
FORECASTER BANN
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