462  
AGAK78 PACR 012258  
HMDACR  
 
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION  
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK  
300 PM AKDT WED JUL 1 2015  
   
..FLOOD POTENTIAL
 
 
LOCALIZED FLOODING POTENTIAL EXISTS THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE  
GOODPASTER RIVER... DENALI FROM THE RAILBELT EAST... DELTANA AND  
TANANA FLATS... SALCHA RIVER SOUTHEAST... UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND  
THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY NORTHWEST OF THE TAYLOR HIGHWAY... EASTERN  
ALASKA RANGE WEST OF THE TOK CUTOFF.  
 
A GLACIER DAMMED LAKE RELEASE ON THE TAKU RIVER IS LEADING TO  
RAPIDLY RISING WATER LEVELS.  
 
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE STATE... THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS LOW.  
   
..HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
 
 
 
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN TODAY HAS LOWS IN THE GULF OF ALASKA...  
NORTH OF BARROW... AND A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.  
THERE IS A RIDGE IN THE BERING... AS WELL AS OVER WESTERN CANADA.  
THE LOW IN THE GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY BY  
EARLY THURSDAY... BRINGING RAIN TO NORTHERN SOUTHEAST. THE NORTHERN  
LOW WILL ELONGATE INTO A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS OVER MUCH OF WESTERN  
ALASKA... BRINGING RAIN TO THE REGION ON THURSDAY. BUT THE LARGEST  
RAIN TOTALS ARE EXPECTED WITH A DEFORMATION ZONE FROM THE ALASKA  
RANGE TO NEAR EAGLE... INCLUDING THE GOODPASTER AND SALCHA BASINS.  
   
..PRECIPITATION
 
 
PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:  
 
LOCATION NAME PE TS 24 HR  
======== ==== == == =====  
PATO PORTAGE GLACIER PP RZ : 0.70  
PEDA2 PEDERSEN LAGOON PC RG : 0.68  
STNA2 STONY STRIP RAWS PC RG : 0.63  
LIVA2 LIVENGOOD RAWS PC RG : 0.62  
SALA2 SALCHA RIVER PC RG : 0.59  
SRVA2 STONY RIVER RAWS PC RG : 0.53  
VNKA2 VUNZIK LAKE RAWS PC RG : 0.51  
SNIA2 SNIPE LAKE PC RG : 0.50  
MCPA2 MCARTHUR PASS PC RG : 0.49  
DOYA2 DONNELLY RAWS PC RG : 0.47  
PAOR NORTHWAY AIRPORT PP RZ : 0.43  
TKFA2 TOK RAWS PC RG : 0.41  
TTLA2 TOTATLANIKA RAWS PC RG : 0.36  
GBDA2 GOODPASTER RIVER PC RG : 0.32  
MCDA2 CHENA RIVER PC RG : 0.31  
BKSA2 BLAIR LAKES RAWS PC RG : 0.29  
ALHA2 ALCAN HWY MI-1244 PC RG : 0.29  
PAFA FAIRBANKS AIRPORT PP RZ : 0.28  
BIRA2 BIRCH CREEK RAWS PC RG : 0.28  
PANN NENANA PP RZ : 0.26  
CRHA2 CHENA RIVER PC RG : 0.26  
NCKA2 NINILCHIK RAWS PC RG : 0.25  
   
..LONG RANGE
 
 
THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR ABOVE  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER MOST OF THE STATE... WITH THE EXCEPTION OF  
A SMALL PORTION OF THE NORTH SLOPE.  
 
THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR  
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE MAINLAND.  
THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE  
SOUTHEAST MAINLAND AND FAR EASTERN INTERIOR... AS WELL AS OVER  
SOUTHEAST ALASKA.  
 
PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER  
INFORMATION.  
   
................................................................
 
 
A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP  
 
A GRAPHICAL SLIDE SHOW PRESENTATION OF HYDROMET ISSUES IS AVAILABLE  
AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRESENT  

 
 
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