607  
AGAK78 PACR 012248  
HMDACR  
 
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION  
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK  
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 1 2014  
   
..FLOOD POTENTIAL
 
 
 
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING EXPECTED ALONG THE CHENA AND CHATANIKA  
RIVERS. SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY FLOW OVERBANK IN LOW LYING  
AREAS BETWEEN THE NULATO HILLS AND THE WESTERN ALASKA RANGE.  
   
..HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
 
 
 
THE NEARLY STATIONARY CLOSED LOW JUST NORTH OF NORTHWEST ALASKA WILL  
BEGIN TO MOVE EASTWARD TUESDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS IS  
CURRENTLY MOVING THOUGH THE PANHANDLE OF ALASKA. A SURFACE COLD  
FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE INTERIOR. BY WEDNESDAY... THE SOUTHERN  
HALF OF ALASKA WILL UNDER NEARLY ZONAL FLOW AND GENERALLY DRIER  
CONDITIONS... WHILE THE FAR NORTH WILL STILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE  
OF THE UPPER LOW.  
 
THE GREATEST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FOR TODAY WILL BE OVER THE  
INTERIOR AND THE PANHANDLE...WITH UP TO AN INCH POSSIBLE. SOME WEST  
FACING SLOPES MAY RECEIVE UP TO 2 INCHES. THE RAINS OVER THE  
INTERIOR WILL CAUSE SOME FLOODING CONDITIONS NEAR FAIRBANKS AND OVER  
THE WESTERN INTERIOR. DRYING OUT FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH  
THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION OVER THE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE ALASKA  
RANGE.  
 
FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING RANGED FROM 500 TO 3000 FEET FOR THE  
NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. FOR THE SOUTHEAST MAINLAND AND  
PANHANDLE... 4000 TO 7000 FEET. THE SOUTHWEST AND ALEUTIANS RANGED  
FROM 6000 TO 10000 FEET.  
 
FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NORTHERN ALASKA FREEZING LEVELS WILL  
REMAIN IN THE 1000 TO 3000 FOOT RANGE. FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA  
COAST... INCLUDING THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AND PANHANDLE... WILL SEE  
LEVELS RISE UP TO A RANGE FROM 8000 TO 10000 FEET.  
 
PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS  
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:  
 
LOCATION NAME PE TS 24 HR  
======== ==== == == =====  
TEUA2 TEUCHET CREEK SNOTEL PP RG : 1.74  
SHLA2 SHELTER COVE RAWS PP RG : 1.35  
EYRA2 EYAK RIVER PP RZ : 1.15  
PAAP PORT ALEXANDER PP RZ : 1.13  
LLKA2 LONG LAKE SNOTEL PC RM : 1.10  
PAKW KLAWOCK PP RZ : 1.08  
SPPA2 SNETTISHAM PP RZ : 0.90  
BLTA2 BARTLETT COVE PC RG : 0.90  
ZMBA2 ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PC RG : 0.81  
GSTA2 GLACIER BAY NATIONAL PP RZ : 0.81  
SOUA2 SOULE RIVER PC RG : 0.80  
SDIA2 SOUTH DOUGLAS PC RZ : 0.80  
ASIA2 ASIK PP RG : 0.79  
ZMBA2 ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PP RG : 0.74  
GTSA2 GUSTUVUS 2NE PP RG : 0.72  
PAYA YAKUTAT PP RZ : 0.70  
AUKA2 AUKE BAY LARC PC RP : 0.70  
GUSA2 GUSTAVUS PP RZ : 0.69  
SIKA2 SITKA CRN PP RG : 0.68  
MCAA2 MONTANA CREEK PC RG : 0.68  
PAJK JUNEAU WFO PC RZ : 0.66  
MNOA2 MT. NOAK PP RG : 0.66  
PASI SITKA PP RZ : 0.65  
PANT ANNETTE PP RZ : 0.61  
PAJK JUNEAU WFO PP RZ : 0.61  
EYKA2 MT EYAK PC RM : 0.60  
HADA2 HAIDA RAWS PC RG : 0.59  
META2 AK METLAKATLA 6S PP RG : 0.56  
KLWA2 HOLLIS PP RZ : 0.55  
PAHN HAINES LANDING STRIP PP RZ : 0.54  
HADA2 HAIDA RAWS PP RG : 0.54  
THOA2 THORNE BAY RAWS PC RG : 0.52  
PAOM NOME PP RZ : 0.52  
KTAA2 KETCHIKAN 13N PP RZ : 0.52  
DCKA2 DAHL CREEK NR KOBUK PC RG : 0.51  
THOA2 THORNE BAY RAWS PP RG : 0.50  
SRYA2 SITUK RIVER NR YAKUT PC RG : 0.50  
PAJN JUNEAU PP RZ : 0.49  
   
..LONG RANGE
 
 
 
THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR NORTHEAST ALASKA AND INTERIOR. THE REMAINDER  
OF THE STATE HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.  
 
THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR  
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR NORTH...FAR EAST AND THE PANHANDLE.  
INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXPECTED Y/K  
PENINSULA AND ALEUTIAN ISLANDS.  
 
PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER  
INFORMATION.  
   
................................................................
 
 
THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS  
IN THE FALL.  
 
A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP  
 

 
 
KFM  
 
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