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AGUS71 KTAR 011811
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
111 PM EST MON DEC 01 2014
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
THE MONDAY LATE MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS EASTERN NEW YORK AND CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND. WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THIS FRONT.
:
THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK
AND NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG WITH LIMITED
MOISTURE BEFORE STALLING SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. STRONG CANADIAN
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FOR A TIME ON TUESDAY AND THIS WILL
PROVIDE DRY CONDITIONS.
:
THE STALLED FRONT WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT TUESDAY
NIGHT AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.
PERIODIC PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND SLEET
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...AND RAIN
ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS. THERE WILL BE A TRANSITION PERIOD WITH
SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXING IN ACROSS INTERIOR NEW YORK
AND INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE FORECAST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING RANGE FROM 0.05 TO 0.35 INCH.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
WARM TEMPERATURES OVER THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SUNDAY AND
EARLY MONDAY WERE CAUSING MINOR SNOW MELT RISES TO SHOW UP ON AREA
RIVERS. THE COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WILL BRING
THESE RISES TO AN END BY TUESDAY. THE RIVERS IN WESTERN NEW YORK
WERE CRESTING OR HAD ALREADY CRESTED MONDAY AFTERNOON.
:
A FEW RIVER GAGES IN MAINE ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF BEING AFFECTED BY
ICE.
:
WARMER AIR MOVING NORTHWARD LATER WEDNESDAY AND PRECIPITATION
MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL CAUSE MINOR RIVER RISES THROUGH MID-
WEEK.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE...7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS THE NERFC REGION ARE GENERALLY NORMAL TO BELOW
NORMAL FOR EARLY DECEMBER. EXCEPTIONS TO THIS ARE IN WESTERN AND
NORTHERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...WHERE RAINFALL
AND SNOW MELT HAS RAISED FLOWS ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS SHOWING THAT
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/NERFC
:
:
THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 2 2014.
IT WILL BE REPLACED BY A PRODUCT AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/BRIEFINGS
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION: NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION: JEFF OUELLET
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