266  
AGUS73 KMSR 241742  
HMDMSR  
 
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
1145 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2018  
 
MAJOR TO RECORD FLOODING TO MAJOR FLOODING CONTINUES FOR THE  
TRIBUTARIES OF MICHIGAN AND ILLINOIS ALONG WITH THE MAINSTEM  
ILLINOIS RIVER. WITH LITTLE NEW RAINFALL THESE SITED SHOULD  
BE ALLOWED TO CREST AT THE FORECAST PEAKS AND RECEDE IN THE  
DAY OR SO.  
 
HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE VERY SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE NCRFC  
COULD CREATE ADDITIONAL FLOODING ON THE MERAMEC RIVER IN  
MISSOURI AND MODERATE FLOODING ON THE BIG MUDDY RIVER  
AT MURPHYSBURO ILLINOIS.  
 
THE CUMULATIVE EFFECT OF ALL THE HIGH RIVERS IS PUSHING  
THE MAINSTEM MISSISSIPPI BANKFULL CONDITIONS AND MINOR  
FLOODING.  
 
RIVER FORECASTS ROUTINELY INCORPORATE 24 HOURS OF QPF FROM  
APRIL 1 TO SEPTEMBER 30 AND 48 HOURS FROM OCTOBER 1 TO MARCH 31.  
SEE HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC/LMI_QPF_NCRFCCURRENTQPF  
   
..FORECAST ACTIVITY
 
 
RVF FORECASTS ISSUED TODAY. ISSUE TIMES ARE IN UTC.  
SUBTRACT 6 HRS FOR CST, 5 HRS FOR CDT/EST, 4 HRS FOR EDT.  
 
RVF FORECAST GROUP DESCRIPTION ISSUE TIME  
CAL LITTLE CALUMET R BASIN 2018-02-24 14:58 UTC  
CIW CEDAR/IOWA R BASIN 2018-02-24 14:41 UTC  
EWS ERN WISCONSIN BASINS TO LK MI 2018-02-24 15:16 UTC  
GND GRAND, MUSKEGON/WHITE BASINS, MI 2018-02-24 14:56 UTC  
KBM KASKASKIA AND BIG MUDDY R BASIN 2018-02-24 16:10 UTC  
KDF ILLINOIS R TRIBS ABV LASALLE, IL 2018-02-24 15:52 UTC  
KDF ILLINOIS R TRIBS ABV LASALLE, IL 2018-02-24 15:57 UTC  
KSJ KALAMAZOO/ST JOSEPH BSNS-MI & IN 2018-02-24 15:59 UTC  
M10 MISS. R - LAKE CITY, MN-L&D 10 2018-02-24 14:38 UTC  
M19 MISS. R - L&D 11-GREGORY LANDING 2018-02-24 16:48 UTC  
MEC MERAMEC R BASIN 2018-02-24 13:25 UTC  
MIS MISS. R - L&D 20 TO CHESTER, IL 2018-02-24 17:09 UTC  
NLM NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN RIVERS 2018-02-24 15:17 UTC  
RCK ROCK R BASIN 2018-02-24 13:46 UTC  
SMS SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN STREAMS 2018-02-24 14:43 UTC  
SMW SAGINAW BASIN IN MI 2018-02-24 14:04 UTC  
SSL ILLINOIS R TRIBS BLO LASALLE, IL 2018-02-24 16:00 UTC  
TIA MISC IOWA TRIBS TO MISS. R 2018-02-24 13:44 UTC  
TMO NE MISSOURI TRIBS TO MISS. R 2018-02-24 14:46 UTC  
WIS WISCONSIN R BASIN 2018-02-24 13:14 UTC  
 
=====================================================================  
 
SITES WITH FORECASTS ABOVE MAJOR FLOOD LEVEL (FS=FLOOD STAGE):  
MAX  
RVF NWSLI STATION NAME/RIVER FS FCST  
KDF PYMI3 PLYMOUTH - YELLOW R 13.0 16.5  
KDF KNXI3 KNOX - WWTP - YELLOW R 10.0 13.6  
KDF DBRI3 DUNNS BRIDGE - KANKAKEE R (WHEATFIELD 5NE) 10.0 13.6  
KDF KTSI3 KOUTS - 5S - KANKAKEE R 11.0 14.7  
KDF SLBI3 SHELBY - KANKAKEE R 9.0 13.3  
KDF RZLI3 RENSSELAER - WWTP & IROQUOIS R 12.0 16.2  
KDF IRQI2 IROQUOIS - IROQUOIS R 18.0 25.0  
KDF CHBI2 CHEBANSE - 5E - IROQUOIS R 16.0 20.5  
KSJ CMSM4 COMSTOCK - KALAMAZOO R 9.0 11.5  
KSJ TRVM4 THREE RIVERS - WWTP & ST JOSEPH R 7.0 11.4  
KSJ MOTM4 MOTTVILLE - ST JOSEPH R 8.0 10.4  
KSJ EKMI3 ELKHART - PUBLIC WORKS - ST JOSEPH R 24.0 27.6  
KSJ SBNI3 SOUTH BEND - WWTP - ST JOSEPH R 5.5 10.6  
KSJ NILM4 NILES - WWTP - ST JOSEPH R 11.0 15.3  
RCK FEEI2 FREEPORT - WWTP - PECATONICA R 13.0 16.3  
RCK SIRI2 SHIRLAND - PECATONICA R 12.0 15.7  
RCK JOSI2 JOSLIN - ROCK R 12.0 18.2  
RCK MLII2 MOLINE - ROCK R 12.0 15.3  
 
SITES WITH FORECASTS ABOVE MODERATE FLOOD LEVEL (FS=FLOOD STAGE):  
MAX  
RVF NWSLI STATION NAME/RIVER FS FCST  
GND LNSM4 LANSING - NO 2 - GRAND R 11.0 13.6  
GND IONM4 IONIA - GRAND R 21.0 23.7  
GND LWLM4 LOWELL - GRAND R 15.0 18.2  
GND HSTM4 HASTINGS - 3SE - THORNAPPLE R 7.0 9.2  
GND ADAM4 ADA - GRAND R 20.0 22.6  
GND GDRM4 GRAND RAPIDS - GRAND R 18.0 21.0  
KDF DAVI3 DAVIS - HWY 30 BR - KANKAKEE R 10.0 12.9  
KDF FSMI3 FORESMAN - IROQUOIS R (BROOK 2E) 18.0 23.6  
KDF WLMI2 WILMINGTON - 4NW - KANKAKEE R 6.5 8.1  
KSJ CPEI3 COSPERVILLE - N BR ELKHART R 6.0 7.3  
RCK MTNW3 MARTINTOWN - 2E & PECATONICA R 13.5 19.2  
RCK ROKI2 ROCKTON - ROCK R 10.0 12.0  
RCK LATI2 LATHAM PARK - ROCK R 10.0 12.0  
SMS HMGM4 HAMBURG - 1N - HURON R 6.5 7.3  
SMW SAGM4 SAGINAW - NO 3 - SAGINAW R 17.0 20.3  
 
SITES WITH FORECASTS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE (FS):  
MAX  
RVF NWSLI STATION NAME/RIVER FS FCST  
EWS CEDW3 CEDARBURG - 3SE - MILWAUKEE R 11.0 11.2  
GND JACM4 JACKSON - WWTP / GRAND R 14.0 14.2  
GND ELNM4 EAST LANSING - RED CEDAR R 7.0 9.1  
GND HHTM4 HOLT - 2E - SYCAMORE CR 8.0 8.2  
GND PORM4 PORTLAND - WWTP & 1S - GRAND R 12.0 12.4  
GND EAGM4 EAGLE - 2NNE - LOOKING GLASS R 7.0 7.0  
GND MRPM4 MAPLE RAPIDS - MAPLE R 9.0 10.0  
GND CLDM4 CALEDONIA - 2NE - THORNAPPLE R 10.0 11.7  
KBM VNDI2 VANDALIA - WWTP & KASKASKIA R 18.0 18.7  
KBM PLMI2 PLUMFIELD - BIG MUDDY R 20.0 21.1  
KBM MURI2 MURPHYSBORO - 2SW-WWTP/RTE 127-BIG MUDDY R 22.0 27.8  
KDF MOMI2 MOMENCE - KANKAKEE R 5.0 6.4  
KDF RUSI2 RUSSELL - DES PLAINES R 7.0 7.8  
KDF GUNI2 GURNEE - 3SW - DES PLAINES R 7.0 7.6  
KDF LEMI2 LEMONT - 1NW - DES PLAINES R 10.0 10.1  
KDF NMSW3 NEW MUNSTER - 2N - FOX R 11.0 12.2  
KDF AFBI2 ALGONQUIN - FOX R TW 9.5 9.7  
KDF MNGI2 MONTGOMERY - FOX R 13.0 13.0  
KSJ RCMM4 NEW RICHMOND - KALAMAZOO R 17.0 17.7  
KSJ BURM4 BURLINGTON - 3E - ST. JOSEPH R 6.5 6.8  
KSJ VCKM4 VICKSBURG - 2E - PORTAGE R 5.0 5.9  
KSJ GSHI3 GOSHEN - ELKHART R 7.0 7.9  
MEC UNNM7 UNION - BOURBEUSE R 15.0 16.0  
MEC BYRM7 BYRNESVILLE - 2NNE - BIG R 16.0 16.9  
MEC SEEM7 STEELVILLE - 2N - MERAMEC R 12.0 14.1  
MEC SLLM7 SULLIVAN - 4SE - MERAMEC R 11.0 15.5  
MEC PCFM7 PACIFIC - MERAMEC R 15.0 15.7  
RCK AFTW3 AFTON - 5SW - WWTP & ROCK R 9.0 9.4  
RCK BCHW3 BLANCHARDVILLE - 2S- E BR PECATONICA R 11.0 11.7  
RCK BROW3 BRODHEAD - WWTP & SUGAR R 5.0 6.4  
RCK BYRI2 BYRON - ROCK R 13.0 13.5  
RCK CMOI2 COMO - ROCK R 12.5 13.0  
SMS MONM4 MONROE - WTP - RVR RAISIN 9.0 9.5  
SMW OWOM4 OWOSSO - 2NW - WWTP / SHIAWASSEE R 7.0 7.7  
SMW FRGM4 FERGUS - 1E - SHIAWASSEE R 10.0 10.7  
SMW DAVM4 DAVISON - 3W - KEARSLEY CR 10.0 10.4  
SSL MNTI2 MONTICELLO - SANGAMON R 13.0 15.2  
 
SITES WITH FORECASTS BELOW FLOOD STAGE BUT ABOVE A  
USER-DEFINED THRESHOLD (FS=FLOOD STAGE):  
MAX  
RVF NWSLI STATION NAME/RIVER FS FCST  
CIW MROI4 MARENGO - IOWA R 14.0 13.1  
EWS SEBW3 SHEBOYGAN - SHEBOYGAN R 8.0 7.4  
EWS CDRW3 CEDARBURG - CEDAR CR 10.0 9.1  
GND ETNM4 EATON RAPIDS - GRAND R 6.0 5.8  
GND WMSM4 WILLIAMSTON - 3E - RED CEDAR R 9.0 8.6  
GND GDLM4 GRAND LEDGE - 1NW & HWY 100 - GRAND R 11.0 10.3  
GND SMYM4 SMYRNA - FLAT R 8.5 6.5  
GND SCTM4 SCOTTVILLE - PERE MARQUETTE R 5.5 5.1  
GND WHTM4 WHITEHALL - 7NE - WHITE R 6.0 5.0  
GND EVRM4 EVART - MUSKEGON R 12.0 10.6  
GND CROM4 CROTON - CROTON DAM - MUSKEGON R 9.0 8.7  
KBM CRLI2 CARLYLE - CARLYLE LK (TW)-KASKASKIA R 423.5 421.8  
KDF MILI2 MILFORD - 1W - SUGAR CR 18.0 17.7  
KDF LDRI2 LINCOLNSHIRE - DES PLAINES R 12.5 11.8  
KDF DSPI2 DES PLAINES - 2N - DES PLAINES R 15.0 14.2  
KDF BOLI2 BOLLINGBROOK - E BR DU PAGE R 19.5 18.3  
KDF BRGW3 BURLINGTON - FOX R 11.0 9.9  
KDF DAYI2 DAYTON - FOX R 12.0 11.2  
KSJ MARM4 MARSHALL - KALAMAZOO R 8.0 7.0  
KSJ BCRM4 BATTLE CREEK - NO 3 - BATTLE CR 4.0 3.6  
KSJ BTCM4 BATTLE CREEK - NO 2 - KALAMAZOO R 9.0 7.7  
M10 GRBI4 GARBER - TURKEY R 17.0 15.5  
MEC ERKM7 EUREKA - 2E - MERAMEC R 19.0 17.9  
MEC VLLM7 VALLEY PARK - MERAMEC R 16.0 15.9  
MIS HNNM7 HANNIBAL - WTP - MISSISSIPPI R 16.0 14.1  
MIS LUSM7 LOUISIANA - WTP-(POOL 24 CP)-MISSISSIPPI R 15.0 13.1  
MIS CLKM7 CLARKSVILLE - L&D 24 - MISSISSIPPI R 25.0 23.0  
NLM STRM4 STERLING - 3N - RIFLE R 6.0 5.0  
RCK MILW3 MILFORD - CRAWFISH R 7.0 5.8  
RCK JFFW3 JEFFERSON - ROCK R 10.0 8.5  
RCK FATW3 FORT ATKINSON - WWTP & ROCK R 16.0 15.3  
RCK DARW3 DARLINGTON - WWTP - PECATONICA R 13.5 11.3  
RCK BVDI2 BELVIDERE - WWTP - KISHWAUKEE R 9.0 6.0  
RCK DXRI2 DIXON - ROCK RIVER 16.0 15.4  
SMS INKM4 INKSTER - LWR RVR ROUGE 10.0 8.0  
SMS ANNM4 ANN ARBOR - HURON R 16.0 15.2  
SMS BLIM4 BLISSFIELD - 1SW - RIVER RAISIN 683.0 682.8  
SMS DNDM4 DUNDEE - WWTP - RVR RAISIN 650.0 649.3  
SMW MPTM4 MOUNT PLEASANT - 3NE - CHIPPEWA R 8.0 7.6  
SMW ALMM4 ALMA - PINE R 8.0 7.1  
SMW MIDM4 MIDLAND - NO 2 - TITTABAWASSEE R 24.0 20.6  
SMW FLTM4 FLINT - 7W - WWTP / FLINT R 13.0 12.5  
SSL RVTI2 RIVERTON - 4NNE & SANGAMON R 23.0 17.7  
TIA DEWI4 DE WITT - 4S - WAPSIPINICON R 11.0 10.5  
TMO DRCM7 ST PETERS - DARDENNE CREEK 18.0 17.8  
WIS DDGW3 DODGE - TREMPEALEAU R 9.0 7.7  
WIS PORW3 PORTAGE - 1SE - WWTP / WISCONSIN R 17.0 13.6  
WIS RSPW3 ROCK SPRINGS - BARABOO R 18.5 15.9  
WIS VIOW3 VIOLA - KICKAPOO R 14.0 12.3  
WIS REAW3 READSTOWN - KICKAPOO R 11.0 8.7  
WIS SOGW3 SOLDIERS GROVE - KICKAPOO R 13.0 10.9  
WIS GMIW3 GAYS MILLS - WWTP - KICKAPOO R 13.0 12.4  
WIS STEW3 STEUBEN - 3NE - KICKAPOO R 12.0 10.5  
 
=====================================================================  
   
..PAST PRECIPITATION
 
 
OBSERVATION TIMES ARE IN UTC.  
SUBTRACT 6 HRS FOR CST, 5 HRS FOR CDT/EST, 4 HRS FOR EDT.  
=====================================================================  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM IOWA:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
IAHY01 DH1345/PPDRZ 0.06 : NEW LONDON 2SW IA  
SLHI4 DH1300/PPDRZ 0.06 : SALEM 1S IA  
WSHI4 DH1300/PPDRZ 0.05 : WASHINGTON IA  
OSEI4 DH1300/PPDRZ 0.05 : OSCEOLA IA  
DNNI4 DH1300/PPDRZ 0.05 : DONNELLSON IA  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM ILLINOIS:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
ILMO04 DH1300/PPDRZ 2.61 : FULTS 4ENE IL  
VDYI2 DH1200/PPDRG 2.59 : VENEDY STATION 1NW IL  
STBI2 DH1300/PPDRZ 2.48 : ST LIBORY IL  
ILSC11 DH1300/PPDRZ 2.10 : CENTREVILLE 2E IL  
ILSC09 DH1300/PPDRZ 2.05 : BELLEVILLE 4WNW IL  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM INDIANA:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
AQPI3 DH1200/PPDRG 0.32 : ANGOLA 6W IN  
INSN02 DH1200/PPDRZ 0.29 : HUDSON 4NNW IN  
INSN09 DH1115/PPDRZ 0.28 : ANGOLA 4N IN  
INLG11 DH1200/PPDRZ 0.18 : LAGRANGE 10E IN  
INEL08 DH1200/PPDRZ 0.16 : WAKARUSA 2NNE IN  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM MICHIGAN:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
ADG DH1153/PPDRZ 0.35 : ADRIAN - LENAWEE CNTY ARPT MI  
31G DH1220/PPDRZ 0.33 : BELLE ISLE MI  
GGRM4 DH1138/PPDRZ 0.33 : GREEN GARDEN NO. 2 MI  
WYTM4 DH1300/PPDRZ 0.31 : WYANDOTTE MI  
MIWY70 DH1221/PPDRZ 0.30 : GROSSE ILE 2N MI  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM MINNESOTA:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
BIRM5 DH1200/PPDRG 0.16 : BRAINERD (RAWS) MN  
LEEM5 DH1200/PPDRG 0.13 : FEDERAL DAM 5SW - SUGAR POINT MN  
CLEM5 DH1200/PPDRG 0.12 : CLEMENTSON MN  
GNA DH1156/PPDRZ 0.11 : GRAND MARIS - COOK CNTY (ASOS) MN  
SEAM5 DH1200/PPDRG 0.11 : GRAND MARAIS 33NW (SEAGULL RAWS) MN  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM MISSOURI:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
MODT07 DH1300/PPDRZ 2.78 : SALEM 4S MO  
MODT12 DH1300/PPDRZ 2.73 : SALEM 1NNE MO  
MOPH17 DH1230/PPDRZ 2.73 : ROLLA 8SSE MO  
MODT01 DH1230/PPDRZ 2.69 : SALEM 2NW MO  
MOCF01 DH1400/PPDRZ 2.67 : STEELVILLE 6SW MO  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM NORTH DAKOTA:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
FAR DH1153/PPDRZ 0.01 : FARGO - HECTOR FIELD ND  
GRFN8 DH1200/PPDRZ 0.001 : GRAND FORKS - NWS / U OF NORTH DAKO ND  
NDCS01 DH1300/PPDRZ 0.001 : WEST FARGO 4SSE ND  
FDRN8 DH1300/PPDRZ 0.001 : FARGO 3S ND  
NDTR03 DH1300/PPDRZ 0.001 : GRANDIN 7ENE ND  
 
NO MEASUREABLE PRECIPITATION REPORTED WITHIN THE NCRFC AREA  
OF SOUTH DAKOTA DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS.  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM WISCONSIN:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
WIVL13 DH1200/PPDRZ 0.21 : ST. GERMAIN 1SW WI  
WISRB DH1200/PPDRP 0.15 : SISTER BAY 3NE /MAWN/ WI  
LAAW3 DH1200/PPDRG 0.12 : LAONA 1SW (RAWS) WI  
WIWJP DH1200/PPDRP 0.10 : JACKSONPORT 3NW /MAWN/ WI  
BERW3 DH1200/PPDRG 0.09 : BERLIN WI  
 
=====================================================================  
 
SEE HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC/LMI_QCPCPN FOR ALL REPORTS.  
 
 
FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER  
FORECASTS, PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION  
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY, PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC  
WEB PAGE AT: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC  
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
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