106  
AGUS74 KFWR 181702  
HMDFWR  
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX  
1102 AM CST SUN FEB 18 2018  
 
VALID FEBRUARY 18 THROUGH FEBRUARY 23  
 
...SOME RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TODAY WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY  
RAINFALL EXPECTED NEXT WEEK...  
 
...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...  
LIGHT SHOWERS REMAIN THE FORECAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF WGRFC AREA  
TODAY WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE. FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS REMAIN  
LESS THAN 0.50 INCHES. NO SIGNIFICANT RIVER RISES ARE EXPECTED WITH  
THIS ACTIVITY THE NEXT 18 HOURS.  
 
A MUCH STRONG SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE REGION LATER ON  
MONDAY AND CONTINUE INTO MIDWEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES EASTWARD  
TAPPING INTO MOISTURE FROM THE GULF. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WITH  
LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS IS FORECAST WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER AREAS  
THAT HAVE SOILS WHICH HAVE BEEN PRIMED FROM RAINFALL OVER THE PAST  
COUPLE OF WEEKS. THIS POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE A  
RELATIVELY LONG DURATION EVENT RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT RISES  
OVER THE SABINE AND NECHES RIVER SYSTEMS.  
 
THE ACTIVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF  
NEXT WEEK.  
 
...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...  
FOR TODAY INTO MONDAY MORNING, MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION (MAP)  
AMOUNTS OF 0.25 INCH OR LESS ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF NEW  
MEXICO, COLORADO AND CENTRAL TEXAS.  
 
FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING, MAP AMOUNTS OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES  
ARE FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO WITH UP TO 0.50 OF AN INCH  
FORECAST FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS.  
 
FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, MAP AMOUNTS OF 1.00 TO 3.00  
INCHES ARE FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF TEXAS WITH THE  
HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS.  
 
FOR WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING, MAP AMOUNTS OF 1.00 TO 3.00  
INCHES ARE FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF TEXAS WITH THE  
HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS.  
 
NOTE - THIS PRODUCT WILL NO LONGER BE GENERATED AFTER MARCH 1, 2018.  
 
...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...   
..WGRFC BASINS
 
 
OUT OF BANK STAGES CONTINUE AT SOME LOCATIONS IN THE LOWER NECHES AND  
SABINE BASINS. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED MONDAY INTO TUESDAY  
IN NORTHEAST TEXAS WHICH MAY CAUSE MODERATE FLOODING.  
 
...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...  
THE FOLLOWING URLS (ALL LOWER CASE) PROVIDE ADDITIONAL GRAPHICAL  
INFORMATION ON CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS, PAST AND  
FUTURE PRECIPITATION, AND DROUGHT AND CLIMATE FORECASTS. THIS  
INFORMATION IS PROVIDED BY A VARIETY OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE,  
NOAA, AND PRIVATE SECTOR ENTITIES.  
 
NOTE - THIS PRODUCT WILL NO LONGER BE GENERATED AFTER MARCH 1, 2018.  
 
ALL INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT CAN BE FOUND AT:  
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/QUICK_BRIEFING  
 
FOR SPECIFIC INFORMATION ON RIVER CONDITIONS, REFER TO THE AHPS  
PAGES FROM THE LOCAL NWS OFFICES AT:  
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/  
 
THE FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK CAN BE VIEWED ON OUR WEBPAGE AT:  
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WGRFCFOP  
 
THE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS NOW ON FACEBOOK:  
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSWESTGULF  
 
NATIONAL PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS:  
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/  
 
THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS (QPF) CAN BE VIEWED ON OUR WEBPAGE AT:  
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WGRFCQPFPAGE  
 
THE US DROUGHT ASSESSMENT:  
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/DROUGHT  
 
THE LATEST ON RESERVOIR INFORMATION FOR TEXAS:  
HTTP://WWW.WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE  
 
AUSTIN-SMITH  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab RFC Page Main Text Page