699  
AGUS74 KFWR 211624  
HMDFWR  
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX  
1024 AM CST TUE NOV 21 2017  
 
VALID NOVEMBER 21 THROUGH NOVEMBER 26  
 
...NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK OVER THE WGRFC AREA  
OF RESPONSIBILITY...  
 
...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...  
 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS  
OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS COAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN 0.10 INCH PER HOUR,  
THEREFORE NO SIGNFICANT RIVER ISSUES ARE EXPECTED.  
 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN  
STATES TODAY, WHICH WILL PLACE THE WGRFC AREA IN A NORTHWESTERLY  
UPPER AIR FLOW PATTERN THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK. WITHIN THIS FLOW  
THERE WILL BE A COUPLE UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES RIPPLING SOUTHEASTWARD  
ACROSS OR NEAR TEXAS. THE NEXT UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO  
RIPPLE ACROSS THE LONE STAR STATE LATER TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT  
AND SHOULD EXIT THE REGION TOMORROW MORNING. LIGHT RAIN WILL  
CONTINUE OVER SOUTHEAST AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN  
LOUISIANA, BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS FORECAST OVER THE WGRFC  
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO  
FALL OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. YET ANOTHER UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE MAY  
GRAZE NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA BY SATURDAY MORNING,  
BUT NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH ITS PASSAGE. IN GENERAL, COOL, DRY  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BEYOND TOMORROW MORNING OVER THE WGRFC AREA.  
 
...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...  
FOR TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION (MAP)  
AMOUNTS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH  
TEXAS AND THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS COAST.  
 
FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING, NO SIGNIFICANT MAP AMOUNTS ARE  
FORECAST FOR THE WGRFC AREA.  
 
FOR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING, NO SIGNIFICANT MAP AMOUNTS ARE  
FORECAST FOR THE WGRFC AREA.  
 
FOR FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING, NO SIGNIFICANT MAP AMOUNTS ARE  
FORECAST FOR THE WGRFC AREA.  
 
THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FOR TEXAS SHOWS THE AREA CONSIDERED  
TO BE ABNORMALLY DRY IS AROUND 46% WITH AROUND 15% OF THE STATE  
EXPERIENCING MODERATE DROUGHT. IN NEW MEXICO, 21% OF THE STATE IS  
HAVING ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS, WITH 4% IN MODERATE DROUGHT  
CONDITIONS (OVER THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS). WITH THE CONTINUED DRY  
WEATHER PATTERN THE WGRFC AREA IS EXPERIENCING, THE AREAS OF DROUGHT  
WILL LIKELY INCREASE THE REST OF THIS MONTH. DUE TO THE DRYING  
SOILS AND THE LACK OF FORECAST SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL, RUNOFF IS NOT  
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  
 
...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...   
..WGRFC BASINS
 
 
ALL RIVERS ACROSS THE WGRFC AREA ARE BELOW CRITERIA LEVELS AND ARE  
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA LEVELS FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  
 
...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...  
THE FOLLOWING URLS (ALL LOWER CASE) PROVIDE ADDITIONAL GRAPHICAL  
INFORMATION ON CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS, PAST AND  
FUTURE PRECIPITATION, AND DROUGHT AND CLIMATE FORECASTS. THIS  
INFORMATION IS PROVIDED BY A VARIETY OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE,  
NOAA, AND PRIVATE SECTOR ENTITIES.  
 
FOR SPECIFIC INFORMATION ON RIVER CONDITIONS, REFER TO THE AHPS  
PAGES FROM THE LOCAL NWS OFFICES AT:  
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/  
 
THE FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK CAN BE VIEWED ON OUR WEBPAGE AT:  
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WGRFCFOP  
 
THE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS NOW ON FACEBOOK:  
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSWESTGULF  
 
NATIONAL PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS:  
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/  
 
THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS (QPF) CAN BE VIEWED ON OUR WEBPAGE AT:  
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WGRFCQPFPAGE  
 
THE US DROUGHT ASSESSMENT:  
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/DROUGHT  
 
THE LATEST ON RESERVOIR INFORMATION FOR TEXAS:  
HTTP://WWW.WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE  
 
MCCANTS  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab RFC Page Main Text Page