969  
AGUS74 KFWR 271450  
HMDFWR  
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX  
949 AM CDT THU JUL 27 2017  
 
VALID JULY 27 THROUGH AUGUST 1  
 
...THE MOST WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL BE WITH MONSOONAL ACTIVITY OUT  
WEST...  
 
...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND  
OKLAHOMA MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH SOME MONSOONAL  
MOISTURE COMBINED WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM NEW MEXICO  
TO OKLAHOMA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN AVERAGING LESS THAN  
0.25 INCH PER HOUR. NO RIVER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS  
ACTIVITY.  
 
MONSOONAL ACTIVITY IN OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN FORECAST AREAS  
WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH THE CURRENT FORECAST PERIOD.  
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE ABUNDANT ACROSS NEW MEXICO  
AND SOUTHERN COLORADO THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, WHICH MEANS  
PERSISTENT RAINS FOR THIS AREA.  
 
ELSEWHERE, A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTH TEXAS  
ON TOMORROW AND EVENTUALLY INTO CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY SATURDAY.  
IN ADDITION, THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN DOMINATING  
OUR WEATHER FOR THE PAST WEEK, WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE WEST.  
AS A RESULT, PORTIONS OF NORTH AND EAST TEXAS WILL BE PLACED IN  
A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN, WHICH WILL ALSO BRING INCREASED  
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO THE AREA NEXT WEEK.  
 
NEVERTHELESS, SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS  
PRECIPITATION.  
 
...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...  
FOR TODAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING, MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION (MAP)  
AMOUNTS OF 1.00 INCH OR LESS ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF  
NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO.  
 
FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING, MAP AMOUNTS OF 1.00 INCH OR  
LESS ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO, COLORADO AND  
NORTH TEXAS.  
 
FOR SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING, MAP AMOUNTS OF 1.00 INCH  
OR LESS ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO.  
 
FOR SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING, MAP AMOUNTS OF 2.00 INCHES  
OR LESS ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO.  
 
THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FOR TEXAS SHOWS THE AREA CONSIDERED  
TO BE ABNORMALLY DRY IS AROUND 26%, AND ROUGHLY 8% OF TEXAS IS  
EXPERIENCING MODERATE (OR WORSE) DROUGHT CONDITIONS. IN NEW MEXICO,  
27% OF THE STATE IS EXPERIENCING ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS, WITH  
ABOUT 7% OF THE STATE IN THE MODERATE DROUGHT CATEGORY. DUE TO THE  
LACK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN THE FORECAST WE ARE NOT ANTICIPATING  
SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.  
 
...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...   
..WGRFC BASINS
 
 
NO WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED OVER THE WGRFC AREA DURING  
THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  
 
...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...  
THE FOLLOWING URLS (ALL LOWER CASE) PROVIDE ADDITIONAL GRAPHICAL  
INFORMATION ON CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS, PAST AND  
FUTURE PRECIPITATION, AND DROUGHT AND CLIMATE FORECASTS. THIS  
INFORMATION IS PROVIDED BY A VARIETY OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE,  
NOAA, AND PRIVATE SECTOR ENTITIES.  
 
FOR SPECIFIC INFORMATION ON RIVER CONDITIONS, REFER TO THE AHPS  
PAGES FROM THE LOCAL NWS OFFICES AT:  
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/  
 
THE FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK CAN BE VIEWED ON OUR WEBPAGE AT:  
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WGRFCFOP  
 
THE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS NOW ON FACEBOOK:  
HTTP://WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSWESTGULF  
 
NATIONAL PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS:  
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/  
 
THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS (QPF) CAN BE VIEWED ON OUR WEBPAGE AT:  
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WGRFCQPFPAGE  
 
THE US DROUGHT ASSESSMENT:  
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/DROUGHT  
 
THE LATEST ON RESERVOIR INFORMATION FOR TEXAS:  
HTTP://WWW.WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE  
 
MCCANTS  
 

 
 
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