206  
FGUS53 KKRF 210209  
RVFOSG  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO  
0209Z SAT OCT 21 2017  
:  
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.  
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.  
 
: FORECAST GROUP IS OSAGE  
 
: *** EVENING FORECAST ***  
 
: **********************************************************  
: *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF ***  
: **********************************************************  
 
: ==> THIS FORECAST INCLUDES OBSD PRECIP & 48 HOURS OF QPF <==  
 
RIVER/STATION FS TDY F O R E C A S T  
LITTLE OSAGE RIVER  
FULTON KS 22.0 3.9 CREST NEAR 24.6 FT 10/22 PM  
HORTON MO 1N 41.0 28.4 CREST NEAR 41.0 FT 10/24 AM  
MARMATON RIVER  
NEVADA MO 2NW 20.0 5.3 CREST NEAR 20.8 FT 10/24 AM  
SOUTH GRAND RIVER  
URICH MO 1S 24.0 6.4 CREST NEAR 22.7 FT 10/23 AM  
BIG CREEK  
BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW 20.0 13.9 CREST NEAR 22.1 FT 10/23 AM  
 
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:FULTON KS - LITTLE OSAGE RIVER HSA - SGF  
:FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.9 FT AT 0115Z ON 1021  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1020 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9  
: 1021 / 3.8  
 
: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 10/22/2017 AROUND 20Z  
.AR : CREST : FTNK1 20171023 Z DC201710210209/DH00/HGIFFX 24.6  
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 10/23/2017 AROUND 09Z  
.ER FTNK1 20171021 Z DC201710210209/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :1021: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9  
.E2 :1022:/ 4.0 / 4.4 / 11.8 / 20.7  
.E3 :1023:/ 24.6 / 24.3 / 20.0 / 14.5  
.E4 :1024:/ 9.5 / 6.9 / 6.1 / 5.5  
.E5 :1025:/ 5.1 / 4.8 / 4.6 / 4.4  
.E6 :1026:/ 4.3  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1020 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 1021 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING OCT 21: 0.00 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 48 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1021 / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.00  
: 1022 / 0.08 / 1.32 / 0.42 / 0.00  
: 1023 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 23: 1.83 INCHES  
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:HORTON MO 1N - LITTLE OSAGE RIVER HSA - SGF  
:FLOOD STAGE 41.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 39.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 45.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 50.0 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 28.4 FT AT 0145Z ON 1021  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1020 / 29.0 / 28.8 / 28.6  
: 1021 / 28.4  
 
: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 10/24/2017 AROUND 06Z  
.AR : CREST : HTNM7 20171024 Z DC201710210209/DH06/HGIFFX 41.0  
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 10/24/2017 AROUND 06Z  
.ER HTNM7 20171021 Z DC201710210209/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :1021: / 28.4 / 28.2 / 28.0  
.E2 :1022:/ 27.9 / 28.1 / 28.9 / 30.6  
.E3 :1023:/ 33.8 / 36.3 / 38.7 / 40.1  
.E4 :1024:/ 40.7 / 41.0 / 40.5 / 39.9  
.E5 :1025:/ 39.0 / 37.9 / 36.8 / 35.3  
.E6 :1026:/ 33.7  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1020 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 1021 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING OCT 21: 0.00 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 48 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1021 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 1022 / 0.04 / 1.14 / 0.53 / 0.02  
: 1023 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 23: 1.73 INCHES  
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:NEVADA MO 2NW - MARMATON RIVER HSA - SGF  
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.3 FT AT 0145Z ON 1021  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1020 / 6.7 / 6.2 / 5.7  
: 1021 / 5.3  
 
: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 10/23/2017 AROUND 16Z  
.AR : CREST : NVDM7 20171024 Z DC201710210209/DH06/HGIFFX 20.8  
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 10/25/2017 AROUND 00Z  
.ER NVDM7 20171021 Z DC201710210209/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :1021: / 5.1 / 4.8 / 4.6  
.E2 :1022:/ 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.7 / 7.0  
.E3 :1023:/ 10.9 / 15.9 / 19.1 / 20.3  
.E4 :1024:/ 20.7 / 20.8 / 20.8 / 20.5  
.E5 :1025:/ 20.0 / 19.2 / 18.2 / 16.7  
.E6 :1026:/ 15.1  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1020 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 1021 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING OCT 21: 0.00 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 48 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1021 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 1022 / 0.02 / 1.07 / 0.57 / 0.02  
: 1023 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 23: 1.68 INCHES  
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:URICH MO 1S - SOUTH GRAND RIVER HSA - EAX  
:FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 22.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.4 FT AT 0115Z ON 1021  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1020 / 6.7 / 6.6 / 6.5  
: 1021 / 6.4  
 
.AR : CREST : URHM7 20171023 Z DC201710210209/DH12/HGIFFX 22.7  
.ER URHM7 20171021 Z DC201710210209/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :1021: / 6.3 / 6.2 / 6.1  
.E2 :1022:/ 6.3 / 8.9 / 15.6 / 19.3  
.E3 :1023:/ 21.1 / 22.3 / 22.7 / 21.8  
.E4 :1024:/ 19.9 / 17.9 / 16.0 / 14.2  
.E5 :1025:/ 12.7 / 11.3 / 10.4 / 9.9  
.E6 :1026:/ 9.4  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1020 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 1021 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING OCT 21: 0.00 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 48 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1021 / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.00  
: 1022 / 0.05 / 1.13 / 0.49 / 0.02  
: 1023 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 23: 1.70 INCHES  
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW - BIG CREEK HSA - EAX  
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 13.9 FT AT 0100Z ON 1021  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1020 / 14.3 / 14.2 / 14.1  
: 1021 / 13.9  
 
: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 10/22/2017 AROUND 16Z  
.AR : CREST : BLRM7 20171023 Z DC201710210209/DH06/HGIFFX 22.1  
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 10/23/2017 AROUND 21Z  
.ER BLRM7 20171021 Z DC201710210209/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :1021: / 13.9 / 13.8 / 13.7  
.E2 :1022:/ 13.7 / 15.7 / 18.6 / 20.7  
.E3 :1023:/ 21.8 / 22.1 / 21.4 / 20.3  
.E4 :1024:/ 19.6 / 18.6 / 17.5 / 16.8  
.E5 :1025:/ 16.4 / 16.2 / 15.9 / 15.7  
.E6 :1026:/ 15.5  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1020 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 1021 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING OCT 21: 0.00 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 48 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 1021 / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.00  
: 1022 / 0.07 / 1.12 / 0.46 / 0.01  
: 1023 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 48-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING OCT 23: 1.67 INCHES  
 
:********************************************************************  
:COMMENT  
:  
:  
:HSA - HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA  
:SGF - NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE SPRINGFIELD, MISSOURI  
:EAX - NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE PLEASANT HILL, MISSOURI  
:OBS - OBSERVED  
:EST - ESTIMATED  
:M - MISSING  
:STAGE FCST - RIVER STAGE FORECAST INCLUDING FUTURE PRECIPITATION  
:FLOW FCST - RIVER FLOW FORECAST INCLUDING FUTURE PRECIPITATION  
:PRECIP - PRECIPITATION  
:QPE - OBSERVED RADAR ESTIMATED PRECIPITATION  
:QPF - FORECASTED MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION FOR LOCAL BASIN  
:  
:  

 
: SRP  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
 
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