927  
FGUS53 KKRF 170129  
RVFBBL  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO  
0128Z THU AUG 17 2017  
:  
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.  
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.  
 
: FORECAST GROUP IS BIGBLUE  
 
: *** EVENING FORECAST ***  
 
: ==> THIS FORECAST INCLUDES OBSD PRECIP & 24 HOURS OF QPF <==  
 
RIVER/STATION FS TDY F O R E C A S T  
BIG BLUE RIVER  
SURPRISE NE NO.2 7.0 7.3 CRESTING  
LINCOLN CREEK  
SEWARD NE 3WNW 15.0 12.9 CREST NEAR 15.5 FT 08/17 PM  
BIG BLUE RIVER  
SEWARD NE 18.0 7.4 CREST NEAR 20.8 FT 08/17 PM  
W FK BIG BLUE RIVER  
DORCHESTER NE 7NW 15.0 2.8 CREST NEAR 19.1 FT 08/19 AM  
BIG BLUE RIVER  
CRETE NE 2S 21.0 8.4 CREST NEAR 24.5 FT 08/19 PM  
BEATRICE NE 18.0 3.3 WITHIN BANK RISE  
 
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:SURPRISE NE NO.2 - BIG BLUE RIVER HSA - OAX  
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 6.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.3 FT AT 0045Z ON 0817  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 1.5 / 6.6 / 7.2  
: 0817 / 7.3  
 
.ER SRPN1 20170817 Z DC201708170128/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :0817: / 6.6 / 5.6 / 4.7  
.E2 :0818:/ 4.0 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5  
.E3 :0819:/ 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.4 / 3.2  
.E4 :0820:/ 3.0 / 2.8 / 2.4 / 2.1  
.E5 :0821:/ 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.6  
.E6 :0822:/ 1.6  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 2.95 / 1.20 / 0.10  
: 0817 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING AUG 17: 4.25 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0817 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 0818 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING AUG 18: 0.02 INCHES  
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:SEWARD NE 3WNW - LINCOLN CREEK HSA - OAX  
:FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 12.9 FT AT 0045Z ON 0817  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 4.2 / 4.6 / 10.0  
: 0817 / 12.7  
 
: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 08/17/2017 AROUND 12Z  
.AR : CREST : SWDN1 20170817 Z DC201708170128/DH18/HGIFFX 15.5  
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 08/18/2017 AROUND 01Z  
.ER SWDN1 20170817 Z DC201708170128/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :0817: / 13.8 / 15.0 / 15.5  
.E2 :0818:/ 15.1 / 14.3 / 13.7 / 13.7  
.E3 :0819:/ 12.9 / 11.3 / 10.1 / 9.5  
.E4 :0820:/ 9.3 / 9.1 / 8.9 / 8.6  
.E5 :0821:/ 8.4 / 8.2 / 8.0 / 7.7  
.E6 :0822:/ 7.5  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 0.51 / 2.11 / 0.19  
: 0817 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING AUG 17: 2.81 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0817 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 0818 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING AUG 18: 0.02 INCHES  
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:SEWARD NE - BIG BLUE RIVER HSA - OAX  
:FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 16.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.4 FT AT 0045Z ON 0817  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 1.7 / 1.8 / 2.5  
: 0817 / 6.8  
 
: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 08/17/2017 AROUND 14Z  
.AR : CREST : SWRN1 20170818 Z DC201708170128/DH00/HGIFFX 20.8  
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 08/18/2017 AROUND 22Z  
.ER SWRN1 20170817 Z DC201708170128/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :0817: / 12.1 / 17.3 / 20.0  
.E2 :0818:/ 20.8 / 20.7 / 20.1 / 19.0  
.E3 :0819:/ 17.4 / 15.1 / 12.5 / 10.3  
.E4 :0820:/ 8.7 / 7.6 / 6.9 / 6.3  
.E5 :0821:/ 5.9 / 5.4 / 5.0 / 4.6  
.E6 :0822:/ 4.2  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 0.43 / 1.63 / 0.22  
: 0817 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING AUG 17: 2.28 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0817 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 0818 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING AUG 18: 0.02 INCHES  
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:DORCHESTER NE 7NW - W FK BIG BLUE RIVER HSA - OAX  
:FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 24.4 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.8 FT AT 0115Z ON 0817  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.8  
: 0817 / 2.7  
 
: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 08/18/2017 AROUND 14Z  
.AR : CREST : DRGN1 20170819 Z DC201708170128/DH06/HGIFFX 19.1  
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 08/20/2017 AROUND 19Z  
.ER DRGN1 20170817 Z DC201708170128/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :0817: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.7  
.E2 :0818:/ 4.6 / 8.7 / 13.7 / 17.3  
.E3 :0819:/ 18.7 / 19.1 / 19.1 / 18.8  
.E4 :0820:/ 18.3 / 17.4 / 16.3 / 15.1  
.E5 :0821:/ 13.9 / 12.6 / 11.4 / 10.3  
.E6 :0822:/ 9.3  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 0.26 / 0.69 / 0.24  
: 0817 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING AUG 17: 1.19 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0817 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 0818 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING AUG 18: 0.02 INCHES  
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:CRETE NE 2S - BIG BLUE RIVER HSA - OAX  
:FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.4 FT AT 0045Z ON 0817  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 7.9 / 7.9 / 7.9  
: 0817 / 8.4  
 
: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 08/18/2017 AROUND 22Z  
.AR : CREST : CRTN1 20170820 Z DC201708170128/DH00/HGIFFX 24.5  
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 08/21/2017 AROUND 13Z  
.ER CRTN1 20170817 Z DC201708170128/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :0817: / 8.6 / 8.7 / 9.6  
.E2 :0818:/ 11.8 / 15.1 / 18.0 / 20.0  
.E3 :0819:/ 21.3 / 22.6 / 23.6 / 24.2  
.E4 :0820:/ 24.5 / 24.5 / 24.2 / 23.8  
.E5 :0821:/ 23.2 / 22.3 / 21.2 / 19.8  
.E6 :0822:/ 17.7  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 0.45 / 0.66 / 0.34  
: 0817 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING AUG 17: 1.45 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0817 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 0818 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING AUG 18: 0.02 INCHES  
:__________________________________________________________________  
 
:BEATRICE NE - BIG BLUE RIVER HSA - OAX  
:FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 16.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 32.0 FT  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.3 FT AT 0045Z ON 0817  
 
:OBS STAGE / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.3  
: 0817 / 3.3  
 
.ER BEAN1 20170817 Z DC201708170128/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
.E1 :0817: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.4  
.E2 :0818:/ 3.5 / 3.6 / 3.9 / 4.3  
.E3 :0819:/ 5.1 / 6.1 / 7.2 / 8.3  
.E4 :0820:/ 9.2 / 9.9 / 10.7 / 11.9  
.E5 :0821:/ 13.3 / 14.4 / 15.1 / 15.2  
.E6 :0822:/ 14.9  
 
:LOCAL OBSERVED 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (PAST 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0816 / 0.05 / 0.10 / 0.52  
: 0817 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL OBSERVED 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPE TOTAL ENDING AUG 17: 0.67 INCHES  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 6-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP (INCHES) (NEXT 24 HOURS):  
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z  
: 0817 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00  
: 0818 / 0.00  
:  
:LOCAL FORECAST 24-HR BASIN-AVERAGED PRECIP TOTAL  
: QPF TOTAL ENDING AUG 18: 0.02 INCHES  
 
:********************************************************************  
:COMMENT  
:  
:  
:HSA - HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA  
:OAX - NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE OMAHA, NEBRASKA  
:TOP - NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE TOPEKA, KANSAS  
:GID - NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HASTINGS, NEBRASKA  
:OBS - OBSERVED  
:EST - ESTIMATED  
:M - MISSING  
:STAGE FCST - RIVER STAGE FORECAST INCLUDING FUTURE PRECIPITATION  
:FLOW FCST - RIVER FLOW FORECAST INCLUDING FUTURE PRECIPITATION  
:PRECIP - PRECIPITATION  
:QPE - OBSERVED RADAR ESTIMATED PRECIPITATION  
:QPF - FORECASTED MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION FOR LOCAL BASIN  
:  
:  

 
: AJM  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
 
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