689  
FGUS65 KSTR 152113  
ESPCO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER  
SALT LAKE CITY, UTAH  
MAY 15, 2017  
 
SAN JUAN BASIN SPECIAL FORECAST GROUP  
 
MAY MID-MONTH FORECASTS  
 
SEASONAL AND MONTHLY FORECASTS  
FORECAST VOLUMES IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET (KAF)  
EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT  
 
RIO BLANCO FORECAST OBSERVED  
90% 50% 10% APR  
APR-JUL 47.0 54.0 62.0 14.6  
 
NAVAJO-CHROMO FORECAST OBSERVED  
90% 50% 10% APR  
APR-JUL 61.0 68.0 77.0 18.7  
 
LITTLE NAVAJO-CHROMO FORECAST OBSERVED  
90% 50% 10% APR  
APR-JUL 6.0 8.0 9.0 3.0  
MAY 2.5 3.7 4.0  
JUN 0.5 1.0 1.5  
JUL 0.0 0.3 0.5  
 
VALLECITO RESERVOIR FORECAST OBSERVED  
90% 50% 10% APR  
APR-JUL 181.0 205.0 240.0 45.0  
MAY 62.0 66.0 73.0  
JUN 57.0 70.0 85.0  
JUL 17.0 24.0 37.0  
 
NAVAJO RESERVOIR FORECAST OBSERVED  
90% 50% 10% APR  
APR-JUL 635.0 695.0 805.0 235.0  
MAY 240.0 250.0 275.0  
JUN 140.0 170.0 220.0  
JUL 21.0 40.0 76.0  
 
ANIMAS-DURANGO FORECAST OBSERVED  
90% 50% 10% APR  
APR-JUL 335.0 390.0 465.0 78.0  
MAY 105.0 120.0 130.0  
JUN 118.0 136.0 165.0  
JUL 34.0 56.0 92.0  
 
LEMON RESERVOIR FORECAST OBSERVED  
90% 50% 10% APR  
APR-JUL 43.0 51.0 63.0 9.8  
MAY 15.0 17.0 19.0  
JUN 15.0 19.0 25.0  
JUL 3.0 5.0 9.0  
 
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