668
NZUS56 KRSA 281358
WRKSJ
SAN JOAQUIN RIVER SYSTEM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
657 AM PLT WED OCT 28 2009
FORECASTS THROUGH: MONDAY, NOVEMBER 02, 2009 AT 4AM PLT
SITUATION SUMMARY:
ALL LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS
RIVER
LOCATION STAGE FLOW TIME DATE LEAD
(NWSLI) (FT) (CFS) (PT) (MM/DD/YY) TIME
-------------------- ----- -------- ---- ---------- ------
SAN JOAQUIN RIVER OBS 50.5 950 AT 1PM 10/27/09 (48)
NEWMAN >MS 63.0 NOT EXPECTED
(NWMC1) >FS 69.4 NOT EXPECTED
>DS 70.4 NOT EXPECTED
MAX 50.5 950 AT CURRENT TIME
SAN JOAQUIN RIVER OBS 33.3 1,030 AT 1PM 10/27/09 (48)
PATTERSON >MS 48.0 NOT EXPECTED
(PATC1) >FS 54.7 NOT EXPECTED
>DS 55.7 NOT EXPECTED
MAX 33.3 1,030 AT CURRENT TIME
SAN JOAQUIN RIVER OBS 10.7 2,400 AT 1PM 10/27/09 (48)
VERNALIS >MS 24.5 NOT EXPECTED
(VNSC1) >FS 29.0 NOT EXPECTED
>DS 29.5 NOT EXPECTED
MAX 10.7 2,400 AT CURRENT TIME
SAN JOAQUIN RIVER OBS 5.3 840 AT 1PM 10/27/09 (48)
MOSSDALE >MS 19.5 NOT EXPECTED
(MOSC1) >FS 28.5 NOT EXPECTED
>DS 29.5 NOT EXPECTED
MIN 5.3 840 AT CURRENT TIME
MAX 6.0 1,450 AT CURRENT TIME
MERCED RIVER OBS 2.3 157 AT 1PM 10/27/09 (24)
POHONO BRIDGE >FS 10.0 NOT EXPECTED
(POHC1) MAX 2.3 157 AT CURRENT TIME
MERCED RIVER OBS 59.4 731 AT 1PM 10/27/09 (36)
STEVINSON >MS 67.0 NOT EXPECTED
(STVC1) >FS 71.0 NOT EXPECTED
MAX 59.4 731 AT CURRENT TIME
TUOLUMNE RIVER OBS 38.5 281 AT 1PM 10/27/09 (24)
MODESTO >MS 50.5 NOT EXPECTED
(MDSC1) >FS 55.0 NOT EXPECTED
MAX 38.5 281 AT CURRENT TIME
STANISLAUS RIVER OBS 4.2 963 AT 1PM 10/27/09 (36)
ORANGE BLOSSOM >MS 13.0 NOT EXPECTED
(OBBC1) >FS 16.0 NOT EXPECTED
MAX 4.2 963 AT CURRENT TIME
MOKELUMNE RIVER OBS 3.5 AT 6AM 10/28/09 (24)
BENSON FERRY >MS 12.0 NOT EXPECTED
(THTC1) >FS 17.0 NOT EXPECTED
MAX 5.0 AT 5PM 11/01/09 IN 107 HRS
COSUMNES RIVER OBS 2.5 16 AT 6AM 10/28/09 (24)
MICHIGAN BAR >MS 7.0 NOT EXPECTED
(MHBC1) >FS 12.0 NOT EXPECTED
MAX 2.6 21 AT 9AM 10/28/09 IN 2 HRS
COSUMNES RIVER OBS 27.6 52 AT 6AM 10/28/09 (24)
MCCONNELL >MS 40.0 NOT EXPECTED
(MCNC1) >FS 46.0 NOT EXPECTED
MAX 27.6 52 AT CURRENT TIME
DEFINITIONS:
OBS MOST RECENT OBSERVATION (MAY BE ESTIMATED)
MS MONITOR STAGE
FS FLOOD STAGE
DS DANGER STAGE (LEVEED LOCATIONS ONLY)
MIN MINIMUM FORECAST WITHIN PERIOD
MAX MAXIMUM FORECAST WITHIN PERIOD
LEAD TIME FORECASTS WITHIN THIS PERIOD (HOURS) ARE CONSIDERED
RELIABLE ENOUGH TO INITIATE PHYSICAL MITIGATION EFFORTS.
* EVENT EXCEEDS MS/FS/DS WITHIN LEAD TIME PERIOD
SIM 10/28/2009 @ 0655P
NOTE: ALL TIMES IN SHEF ENCODED MESSAGES BELOW ARE UTC
.A NWMC1 20091027 Z DH20/HG 50.5
.ER NWMC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910272055/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5
.ER2 / 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.5/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4
.ER3 / 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4
.ER4 / 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4
.ER5 / 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4
.ER6 / 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4
.ER7 / 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4
.ER8 / 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4
.ER9 / 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.4/ 50.3/ 50.3/ 50.3/ 50.3/ 50.3/ 50.3/ 50.3
.ER10 / 50.3/ 50.3/ 50.3/ 50.3/ 50.3
.A PATC1 20091027 Z DH20/HG 33.3
.ER PATC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910272055/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3
.ER2 / 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3
.ER3 / 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3
.ER4 / 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3
.ER5 / 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3
.ER6 / 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3
.ER7 / 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3
.ER8 / 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3
.ER9 / 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3
.ER10 / 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3/ 33.3
.A VNSC1 20091027 Z DH20/HG 10.7
.ER VNSC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910272055/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7
.ER2 / 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.7/ 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6
.ER3 / 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6
.ER4 / 10.5/ 10.5/ 10.5/ 10.5/ 10.5/ 10.5/ 10.5/ 10.5/ 10.4/ 10.4
.ER5 / 10.4/ 10.4/ 10.4/ 10.4/ 10.4/ 10.4/ 10.4/ 10.4/ 10.3/ 10.3
.ER6 / 10.3/ 10.3/ 10.3/ 10.3/ 10.3/ 10.2/ 10.2/ 10.2/ 10.2/ 10.2
.ER7 / 10.2/ 10.1/ 10.1/ 10.1/ 10.1/ 10.1/ 10.1/ 10.1/ 10.1/ 10.0
.ER8 / 10.0/ 10.0/ 10.0/ 10.0/ 10.0/ 10.0/ 9.9/ 9.9/ 9.9/ 9.9
.ER9 / 9.9/ 9.8/ 9.8/ 9.8/ 9.8/ 9.8/ 9.8/ 9.7/ 9.7/ 9.7
.ER10 / 9.7/ 9.7/ 9.7/ 9.6/ 9.6
.A MOSC1 20091027 Z DH20/HG 5.3
.ER MOSC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910272055/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0
.ER2 / 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0
.ER3 / 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0
.ER4 / 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.0
.ER5 / 6.0/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9
.ER6 / 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9
.ER7 / 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9
.ER8 / 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9
.ER9 / 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9
.ER10 / 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.9
.A POHC1 20091027 Z DH20/HG 2.3
.ER POHC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910272055/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2
.ER2 / 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2
.ER3 / 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2
.ER4 / 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1
.ER5 / 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1
.ER6 / 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1
.ER7 / 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1
.ER8 / 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1
.ER9 / 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1
.ER10 / 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1
.A STVC1 20091027 Z DH20/HG 59.4
.ER STVC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910272055/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4
.ER2 / 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4
.ER3 / 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4
.ER4 / 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4
.ER5 / 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4
.ER6 / 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4
.ER7 / 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4
.ER8 / 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4
.ER9 / 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4
.ER10 / 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4/ 59.4
.A MDSC1 20091027 Z DH20/HG 38.5
.ER MDSC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910272055/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5
.ER2 / 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5
.ER3 / 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5
.ER4 / 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5
.ER5 / 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5
.ER6 / 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5
.ER7 / 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5
.ER8 / 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5
.ER9 / 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5
.ER10 / 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5/ 38.5
.A OBBC1 20091027 Z DH20/HG 4.2
.ER OBBC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910272055/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 3.8/ 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.5/ 3.5
.ER2 / 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4
.ER3 / 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.3
.ER4 / 3.0/ 2.9/ 2.9/ 2.9/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8
.ER5 / 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8
.ER6 / 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.6/ 2.2/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 1.9/ 1.7/ 1.6
.ER7 / 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6
.ER8 / 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6
.ER9 / 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6
.ER10 / 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6
.A THTC1 20091028 Z DH13/HG 3.5
.ER THTC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910281355/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 3.3/ 2.9/ 2.5/ 2.2/ 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.7/ 3.3/ 3.9/ 4.3
.ER2 / 4.5/ 4.3/ 4.0/ 3.5/ 3.1/ 2.7/ 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.4
.ER3 / 3.8/ 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.1/ 3.9/ 3.5/ 3.0/ 2.6/ 2.3/ 2.2
.ER4 / 2.4/ 3.1/ 3.8/ 4.4/ 4.6/ 4.5/ 4.2/ 3.7/ 3.2/ 2.7
.ER5 / 2.4/ 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.3/ 3.7/ 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.1/ 3.7
.ER6 / 3.3/ 2.8/ 2.4/ 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.6/ 4.2/ 4.6/ 4.8
.ER7 / 4.7/ 4.4/ 4.0/ 3.5/ 2.9/ 2.5/ 2.2/ 2.0/ 2.4/ 3.2
.ER8 / 3.9/ 4.2/ 4.1/ 3.9/ 3.5/ 3.2/ 2.8/ 2.5/ 2.4/ 2.7
.ER9 / 3.3/ 4.1/ 4.6/ 4.8/ 4.7/ 4.5/ 4.1/ 3.7/ 3.2/ 2.6
.ER10 / 2.2/ 1.9/ 1.8/ 2.5/ 3.6/ 4.2/ 4.1/ 3.8/ 3.4/ 3.0
.ER11 / 2.7/ 2.6/ 2.8/ 3.3/ 3.8/ 4.4/ 4.8/ 5.0/ 4.9/ 4.6
.ER12 / 4.2/ 3.7/ 3.2/ 2.6/ 2.1/ 1.8/ 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.6
.A MHBC1 20091028 Z DH13/HG 2.5
.ER MHBC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910281355/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER2 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER3 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER4 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER5 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER6 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER7 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER8 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER9 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER10 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER11 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.ER12 / 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6
.A MCNC1 20091028 Z DH13/HG 27.6
.ER MCNC1 20091028 Z DH14/DC200910281355/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER2 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER3 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER4 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER5 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER6 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER7 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER8 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER9 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER10 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER11 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
.ER12 / 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6/ 27.6
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