069  
ACUS03 KWNS 260710  
SWODY3  
SPC AC 260709  
 
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0209 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2016  
 
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z  
   
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST
 
 
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
WHILE ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED...A  
FEW STRONGER STORMS COULD OCCUR ACROSS THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST ON  
WEDNESDAY.  
   
..CAROLINAS/SOUTHEAST STATES
 
 
SOME GUIDANCE VARIABILITY EXISTS REGARDING THE EXACT  
EVOLUTION/PLACEMENT OF THE PERSISTENT CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT  
LAKES/MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BUT IT SEEMS LIKELY TO CONTINUE  
SETTLING SOUTH/SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE OH/TN RIVER VALLEYS TOWARD THE  
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THIS ALSO RELATES TO SOME UNCERTAINTY  
REGARDING THE LOCATION/MOVEMENT OF A FRONT AS IT POTENTIALLY STALLS  
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES/CAROLINAS AND NEAR-COASTAL MID-ATLANTIC.  
GIVEN THAT A RELATIVELY MOIST PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS MAY STILL BE  
LOCATED AT LEAST ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS INTO EAST  
GA/NORTH FL...AFTERNOON HEATING AND STRENGTHENING FORCING FOR  
ASCENT/WINDS ALOFT COULD ACCOUNT FOR SOME STRONGER STORMS WEDNESDAY  
AFTERNOON NEAR THE FRONT. WHILE THE AFOREMENTIONED FORECAST  
UNCERTAINTIES CURRENTLY PRECLUDE SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THE DAY 3  
JUNCTURE...THIS WILL BE REEVALUATED IN FUTURE OUTLOOKS.  
 
..GUYER.. 09/26/2016  
 

 
 
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