915
ABPZ20 KNHC 261115
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM JULIETTE, LOCATED IN THE EAST PACIFIC BASIN SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA.
WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM LATE THIS WEEK, WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA:
AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED A FEW
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND WHILE IT MOVES
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PART OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC BASIN.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM THIS WEEKEND OFFSHORE OF THE
COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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