935
AGXX40 KNHC 090717
MIMATS
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
215 AM EST TUE FEB 09 2010
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W
GULF OF MEXICO...
CDFNT OVER THE NW WATERS ATTM WILL REACH PSN FROM W FL PANHANDLE
TO CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE THIS MORNING AND RACE E PASSING
THROUGH FL STRAITS TONIGHT. POST FRONTAL NLY FLOW WILL INCREASE
TO A MAX OF 30 KT TODAY OVER THE W GULF AND CONTINUE OVER THE NE
GULF TILL ABOUT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL LEAVE A REMNANT
TROUGH ALONG THE SW GULF COAST. THIS TROUGH WILL PERSIST WED AND
DEEPEN AND EXPAND N TO ALONG THE S TX COAST THROUGH THU. GFS
CONTINUES TO BE THE MOST AGGRESSIVE SUGGESTING LOW PRES
DEVELOPMENT NEAR 27N97W THU AND MOVES THE LOW E ACROSS SOUTHERN
FL FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT. REGARDLESS OF STRENGTH AND PSN OF LOW
AND IS SUBSEQUENT TRACK IT WILL TRAIL A COOL FRONT TO ITS S.
SLY WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO AT LEAST 25 KT AHEAD OF LOW
AND NLY WINDS IN ITS WAKE WILL INCREASE TO AT LEAST 30
KT....WITH MORE AGGRESSIVE GUIDANCE SUGGESTING MINIMAL GALE.
WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH QUICKLY BECOMING SLY OVER THE NW GULF
SAT NIGHT.
SW N ATLC AND TROPICAL ATLC W OF 55W...
BROAD FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 25N55W TO HAITI WILL
CONTINUE TO DRIFT SE REACHING ALONG 18.5N E OF THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE BEFORE BEGINNING TO LIFT N AS A WEAK WARM FRONT EARLY
WED AND THU. NEXT CDFNT OFF GA COAST AROUND SUNSET TODAY
ACCOMPANIED BY MINIMAL GALE WINDS N OF 29N BOTH SIDES OF FRONT
TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL RACE E EVEN FASTER THAT PREVIOUSLY
SUGGESTED TO PSN FROM BERMUDA TO HISPANIOLA AROUND SUNSET WED
FINALLY LOSING ITS PUSH FROM 20N55W TO HISPANIOLA FRI MORNING.
FORECAST UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES FOR LATE FRI...BUT GENERALLY
EXPECT LOW PRES TO MOVE FROM GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS SOUTHERN FL
THEN TURNING NE AND PASSING WELL S OF BERMUDA SAT NIGHT. LIKELY
TO BE CONVECTIVE NEAR LOW AND ALONG THE ASSOCIATED COOL FRONT
THAT IT WILL DRAG ACROSS BAHAMAS SAT. FOR NOW EXPECTING 20 TO 30
KT WINDS TO START LATE FRI NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SAT NIGHT.
MARINERS STAY TUNED TO SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS AS THERE WILL
CERTAINLY BE PLENTY OF ADJUSTMENTS.
CARIBBEAN...
WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH STILL EVIDENT AND DRIFTING NW FROM WINDWARD
PASSAGE TO BORDER OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA ATTM. EXPECT THESE
REMNANT CLOUDS TO MOVE BACK N OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN WATERS
TODAY. NEXT CDFNT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL AROUND SUNSET TODAY AND
EXPECTED TO HANG UP FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO EASTERN GULF OF
HONDURAS WED NIGHT AND THU WITH REMNANTS DRIFTING NW OVER GULF
OF HONDURAS THU AND THE NW WATERS THU NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF NEXT
CDFNT YUCATAN CHANNEL AROUND SUNSET FRI LOSING IDENTITY SAT.
WARNINGS...
ATLC...
AMZ080
GALE WARNING N OF 29N EITHER SIDE OF FRONT.
CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.
GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
FORECASTER NELSON
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