665  
FONT11 KNHC 081450  
PWSAT1  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017  
1500 UTC SUN OCT 08 2017  
 
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)  
 
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)  
 
WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
BALTIMORE MD 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)  
 
MONTGOMERY AL 34 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)  
 

 
FORECASTER BROWN  
 
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