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PWSAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007
0300 UTC THU DEC 13 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 190N 800W 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
12 190N 800W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
12 190N 800W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 190N 820W 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 190N 820W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 190N 820W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 195N 835W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 195N 835W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 195N 835W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 200N 855W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 200N 855W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 200N 855W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 220N 865W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 220N 865W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 220N 865W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25 20 20 20 20 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER AVILA
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