080  
FOPZ11 KNHC 060832  
PWSEP1  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007  
0900 UTC THU SEP 06 2007  
 
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED  
NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE  
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT  
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY  
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES  
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
HR POSITIONS KT  
 
12 320N 1095W 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)  
12 320N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)  
12 320N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)  
 
24 335N 1070W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)  
24 335N 1070W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)  
24 335N 1070W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)  
 
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -  
FCST MAX WIND 20 20 0 0 0 0 0  
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
 
 
 
FORECASTER AVILA  
 
 
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