792  
FOPZ13 KNHC 202024  
PWSEP3  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132007  
2100 UTC THU SEP 20 2007  
 
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED  
NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE  
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT  
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY  
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES  
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
HR POSITIONS KT  
 
12 176N 1306W 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)  
12 176N 1306W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
12 176N 1306W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)  
 
24 175N 1304W 34 3 5( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)  
24 175N 1304W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
24 175N 1304W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)  
 
36 174N 1300W 34 2 5( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)  
36 174N 1300W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
36 174N 1300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)  
 
48 174N 1293W 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
48 174N 1293W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
48 174N 1293W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)  
 
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -  
FCST MAX WIND 20 20 20 20 0 0 0  
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
 
 

 
FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN  
 
 
 
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