617
FOPZ15 KNHC 232035
PWSEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
2100 UTC TUE OCT 23 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 181N 1162W 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
12 181N 1162W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 181N 1162W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 182N 1183W 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
24 182N 1183W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 182N 1183W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 183N 1203W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
36 183N 1203W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 183N 1203W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 190N 1225W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 190N 1225W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 190N 1225W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 20 20 20 20 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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