582
WTNT45 KNHC 122030
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152007
500 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2007
THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEVOID OF DEEP
CONVECTION. IN FACT...IT APPEARS THAT IT IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING TO A
REMNANT LOW. THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY...
THEREFORE REGENERATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THE SYSTEM COULD STILL
PRODUCE INTERMITTENT BURST OF CONVECTION BEFORE DISSIPATION.
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING AND ONLY A SMALL NORTHWARD DRIFT
IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY OF THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 12/2100Z 30.8N 49.5W 25 KT
12HR VT 13/0600Z 31.5N 49.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 13/1800Z 32.5N 49.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER AVILA
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