854  
WTPZ33 KNHC 152034  
TCPEP3  
 
BULLETIN  
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BUD ADVISORY NUMBER 25  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018  
300 PM MDT FRI JUN 15 2018  
 
...REMNANTS OF BUD EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE  
STATE OF SONORA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...  
 
SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION  
----------------------------------------------  
LOCATION...25.9N 110.2W  
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SSE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO  
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM E OF LORETO MEXICO  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H  
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES  
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS  
--------------------  
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK  
----------------------  
AT 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BUD  
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST. THE  
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH (17  
KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON  
THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO  
MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN SONORA TONIGHT.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND BUD IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON  
SATURDAY OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF SONORA.  
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).  
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND  
----------------------  
RAINFALL: BUD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH  
ISOLATED TOTALS OF 6 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SONORA IN  
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH SATURDAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE  
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  
 
REMNANT MOISTURE FROM BUD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF  
RAIN WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 3 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S.  
INTO THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES THROUGH SATURDAY. THESE  
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  
 
WIND: WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH  
TONIGHT ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN NORTHERN SINALOA AND  
SOUTHERN SONORA STATES.  
 
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY BUD WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF  
THE COAST OF WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP  
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER  
OFFICE.  
 
NEXT ADVISORY  
-------------  
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE  
CENTER ON BUD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE  
SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE,  
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB  
AT HTTP://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.SHTML.  
 

 
FORECASTER BRENNAN  
 
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