828  
WTPZ42 KNHC 140231  
TCDEP2  
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122017  
800 PM PDT SUN AUG 13 2017  
 
JOVA LACKS SUFFICIENT DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A  
TROPICAL CYCLONE, SO THE SYSTEM IS BEING DESIGNATED AS A REMNANT  
LOW. ALTHOUGH THE LOW MAY PRODUCE SPORADIC BURSTS OF DEEP  
CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO, THE DRY AND STABLE ENVIRONMENT  
SHOULD PREVENT THE SYSTEM FROM COMING BACK. BASED ON THE ECMWF  
MODEL PREDICTION, THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD DISSIPATE AFTER 72 HOURS,  
IF NOT SOONER.  
 
THE LOW IS MOVING WESTWARD OR 270/12 KT. A MAINLY EASTERLY  
LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW SHOULD MOVE THE SYSTEM ON A WESTWARD TO  
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK  
FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE.  
 
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON JOVA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON  
THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER  
FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT  
HTTP://WWW.OPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.SHTML.  
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
 
INIT 14/0300Z 20.5N 119.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
12H 14/1200Z 20.2N 121.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
24H 15/0000Z 19.9N 123.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
36H 15/1200Z 19.5N 126.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
48H 16/0000Z 19.0N 128.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
72H 17/0000Z 18.0N 132.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
96H 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 

 
FORECASTER PASCH  
 
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