649
WTPZ43 KNHC 040230
TCDEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182009
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 03 2009
OLAF HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW A REMNANT LOW. THE SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A
TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS APPROACHING THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA. MOST OF THE CLOUDINESS AND RAIN HAVE MOVED RAPIDLY
TO THE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL CENTER AND ARE ALREADY
OVER MAINLAND MEXICO. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO FURTHER WEAKEN OVER THE
TERRAIN OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BUT COULD STILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND
GUSTY WINDS.
THE REMNANT LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST OR 085 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION.
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF OLAF WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON OLAF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO
HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 04/0300Z 24.1N 112.3W 25 KT
12HR VT 04/1200Z 24.5N 110.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 05/0000Z 25.5N 109.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER AVILA
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