647  
WTPZ44 KNHC 101434  
TCDEP4  
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NARDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142013  
800 AM PDT THU OCT 10 2013  
 
NARDA HAS BECOME A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND HAS DEGENERATED INTO A  
REMNANT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...THE  
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN SPORADIC AND LESS PERSISTENT.  
ALSO...THE DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE FALLEN BELOW WHAT WOULD BE  
EXPECTED FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE LOW COULD STILL OCCASIONALLY  
GENERATE A FEW PATCHES OF DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER...BECAUSE THE  
SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF HIGH SHEAR AND STABLE  
AIR...IT IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR SO WHILE IT DRIFTS  
TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST.  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
 
INIT 10/1500Z 16.3N 129.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
12H 11/0000Z 16.2N 129.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
24H 11/1200Z 15.5N 130.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
36H 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 

 
FORECASTER AVILA  
 
 
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