883
WTPZ44 KNHC 020236
TCDEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142007
800 PM PDT MON OCT 01 2007
THE DEEP CONVECTION STARTED SEPARATING FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AT
ABOUT 18Z. NO NEW CONVECTION HAS FIRED UP SINCE THEN...AND THE
REMAINING COLD CLOUD TOPS ARE JUST CIRRUS DEBRIS RACING NORTHWARD.
THE EXPOSED SWIRL DOES NOT PRESENTLY QUALIFY AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE... AND REDEVELOPMENT OF A MEANINGFUL AMOUNT OF DEEP
CONVECTION APPEARS UNLIKELY...DUE TO CONTINUING STRONG SOUTHERLY
SHEAR...AND SINCE THE UNDERLYING SSTS ARE QUICKLY COOLING AS THE
SYSTEM PROCEEDS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR 340/8. IN MARGINAL
CIRCUMSTANCES WE MIGHT CONTINUE ADVISORIES AS A PRECAUTION...BUT IN
THIS CASE THE CONDITIONS ARE SUCH THAT I AM COMFORTABLE MAKING THIS
THE LAST ADVISORY ON JULIETTE. THE REMNANT LOW IS FORECAST TO
DECELERATE AS IT CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...UNTIL IT LIKELY
DISSIPATES WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 02/0300Z 23.4N 115.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
12HR VT 02/1200Z 23.9N 116.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 03/0000Z 24.3N 116.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 03/1200Z 24.6N 116.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER KNABB
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