506
WTPZ45 KNHC 232036
TCDEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO DISCUSSION NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 23 2007
SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY...THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED AND
KIKO IS NOW IS A SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS. ANALYSIS FROM A 1326
UTC QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED A FEW CREDIBLE 30 KT WIND VECTORS...
HOWEVER...IT IS PROBABLE THAT KIKO HAS BEEN WEAKENING SINCE THAT
TIME.
DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS...DEEP CONVECTION HAS SPORADICALLY
DEVELOPED AND QUICKLY WEAKENED. GIVEN THE LACK OF PERSISTENCE AND
ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION...THIS SYSTEM NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS
A TROPICAL CYCLONE. WHILE ADDITIONAL TEMPORARY BURSTS OF
CONVECTION MIGHT RECUR...A CONTINUED SPIN-DOWN OF THE REMNANT
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. THIS IS THE
LAST ADVISORY ON KIKO UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/2100Z 18.3N 114.4W 25 KT
12HR VT 24/0600Z 18.1N 116.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 24/1800Z 18.2N 118.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 25/0600Z 18.3N 120.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 25/1800Z 19.0N 122.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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