244
FXUS23 KWNC 102003
PMDSST
TROPICAL PACIFIC MEAN SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE/SST/ OUTLOOK
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
300 PM EST FRI DEC 10 2004
MEAN TEMPERATURE ANOMALY SST OUTLOOKS ARE IN TENTH OF A DEGREE
CELSIUS FOR THE NINO 3.4 AREA OF THE TROPICAL PACIFIC /5N-5S AND
120W-170W/. ANOMALIES ARE FROM 1971-2000 NINO 3.4 CLIMATOLOGICAL
SST /CLM/.
THREE MONTH OUTLOOK PERIODS
EG. JFM IS JANUARY THROUGH MARCH - FMA FOR FEB. THROUGH APR. ETC.
SEE NOTES BELOW ON TYPES OF OUTLOOKS
TYPE JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ DJF JFM
CONS 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
U68 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.2
L68 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.4 -0.6 -0.6 -0.5 -0.5
U95 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.1
L95 0.1 0.0 -0.2 -0.5 -0.8 -1.0 -1.1 -1.2 -1.4 -1.7 -1.7 -1.6 -1.3
CCA 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7
CA 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
NCEP 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CLM 26.8 27.2 27.5 27.6 27.5 27.1 26.8 26.6 26.6 26.6 26.5 26.5 26.8
CONS - OFFICIAL CONSOLIDATED OUTLOOK
U68 - THE UPPER LIMIT OF 68 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FORCONS
L68 - THE LOWER LIMIT OF 68 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR CONS
U95 - THE UPPER LIMIT OF 95 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR CONS
L95 - THE LOWER LIMIT OF 95 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR CONS
CCA - CANONICAL CORRELATION ANALYSIS OUTLOOK
CA - CONSTRUCTED ANALOG OUTLOOK
NCEP - NCEP CFS DYNAMIC MODEL OUTLOOK
CLM - CLIMATOLOGICAL MEAN NINO 3.4 SST
THIS PRODUCT IS AVAILABLE IN A GRAPHICAL FORMATON THE INTERNET AT
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV /LOWER CASE/
$$
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