678  
FXUS64 KBMX 210217  
AFDBMX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
817 PM CST FRI NOV 20 2009  
   
UPDATE
 
EVENING FORECAST UPDATE.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TEMPERATURES ARE A BIT PROBLEMATIC TONIGHT. LOW DEWPOINTS AND LIGHT  
WINDS ALLOWED TEMPS TO DROP FAIRLY QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. BUT NOW  
THE CLOUDS ARE REALLY STARTING TO STREAM IN AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM  
SYSTEM. THUS...TEMPERATURES MAY BE BOTTOMING OUT (OR AT LEAST  
LEVELING OFF) IN THE WEST NOW (WHERE THE CLOUDS HAVE THICKENED UP  
THE MOST)...BUT THERE MAY BE SEVERAL MORE HOURS OF COOLING IN THE  
EAST. WILL MAKE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HOURLY TEMPERATURE GRIDS  
WITH THE EVENING UPDATE...BUT I PLAN ON LEAVING THE LOW TEMP  
FORECAST ALONE (UNLESS SOMETHING SOON GETS OUT OF HAND ON THE LOW  
SIDE).  
 
RAIN AT THE MOMENT IS ONLY AS NEAR AS NEW ORLEANS. THERE'S A SMALL  
CHANCE THAT THE SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES COULD GET SOMETHING MORE THAN  
A FEW SPRINKLES (MEANING...MEASURABLE RAIN) BY 12Z TOMORROW  
MORNING. I DON'T THINK THAT CHANCE IS QUITE ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE  
FORECAST RIGHT NOW THOUGH.  
 
/61/  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.  
 
HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH  
LIGHT TO CALM WINDS. WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS...DO NOT EXPECT  
WIDESPREAD BR/VIS PROBLEMS OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH...CAN NOT RULE OUT A  
FEW HOURS OF BCFG AT TCL. AS A SURFACE LOW APPROACHES FROM THE WEST  
TOMORROW...EXPECT LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO SPREAD INTO CENTRAL  
ALABAMA...FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE  
AFTERNOON AND INTO SATURDAY EVENING.  
 
14  
 

 
   
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
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