427  
FXUS64 KBMX 280800  
AFDBMX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
300 AM CDT THU MAR 28 2024  
   
..NEW LONG TERM
 
 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CDT THU MAR 28 2024  
 
BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO PLACE AND  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE SOUTHEAST. MUCH DRIER  
AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE AND ONLY PASSING HIGH CLOUDS. NORTHERLY  
WINDS TODAY WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOW  
70S. LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO COOL  
INTO THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S FRIDAY MORNING. PATCHY FROST IS  
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH. A LITTLE LESS IN CLOUDS ON FRIDAY, SO  
PLENTY OF SUN WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID  
70S.  
 
16  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 300 AM CDT THU MAR 28 2024  
 
A SURFACE TO 850 MB RIDGE WILL BE POSITIONED TO OUR SOUTHEAST ON  
SATURDAY PROVIDING SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE LOWER  
MRV AND DEEP SOUTH AREAS. A LOW-AMPLITUDE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE  
WILL BE SITUATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST. AS SUCH,  
A WARM WEEKEND IS FORECAST WITH 70S/80S DURING THE AFTERNOONS -  
ARGUABLY THE BEST WEEKEND WEATHER IN A LONG TIME.  
 
FLOW ALOFT IS PROGGED TO AMPLIFY BY MONDAY AS THE MID- TO UPPER-  
LEVEL RIDGE MOVES TOWARD ALABAMA. DEWPOINTS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE,  
REACHING THE 60S ON MONDAY, OWING TO CONTINUED FLOW OFF THE GULF.  
MEANWHILE, A DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE OHIO VALLEY  
REGION MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE EAST  
INTO TUESDAY MORNING WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT ENTERING THE  
TENNESSEE VALLEY ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AS A RESULT. GIVEN THE  
OVERLAP OF INSTABILITY AND DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR ALONG WITH THE  
APPROACHING FRONT/HEIGHT FALLS, WE'LL NEED TO WATCH FOR STRONG TO  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT SHOULD  
LATEST GUIDANCE REMAIN CONSISTENT.  
 
40/SIZEMORE  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CDT THU MAR 28 2024  
 
VFR CONDITIONS OF THE SHORT TERM WITH GENERALLY JUST SOME PASSING  
HIGH CLOUDS. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON WITH  
NORTHERLY WINDS SUSTAINED AT 10 TO 12 KTS. WINDS CALM TONIGHT  
BETWEEN 3 AND 6Z.  
 
16  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
A DRIER AIRMASS SETTLES OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.  
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE 18 TO 28 PERCENT RANGE THIS  
AFTERNOON AND 18 TO 28 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHERLY  
20-FOOT WINDS UP TO 10 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH NOON AND SHOULD  
GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY. 20-FOOT WINDS BECOME  
SOUTHWESTERLY FRIDAY, WITH SPEEDS LESS THAN 10 MPH THROUGH THE  
DAY.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
GADSDEN 68 34 73 45 / 0 0 0 0  
ANNISTON 68 38 72 47 / 0 0 0 0  
BIRMINGHAM 68 40 73 49 / 0 0 0 0  
TUSCALOOSA 70 39 74 48 / 0 0 0 0  
CALERA 69 39 73 49 / 0 0 0 0  
AUBURN 70 41 72 48 / 0 0 0 0  
MONTGOMERY 71 39 73 47 / 0 0 0 0  
TROY 72 41 75 47 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...16  
LONG TERM....40/SIZEMORE  
AVIATION...16  
 
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