654  
FNUS74 KLZK 081232  
FWSLZK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DANCE FIRE...SYLAMORE RANGER DISTRICT, USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
628 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0555 CST ON NOVEMBER 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE ARKANSAS WEATHER  
TODAY AND MONDAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS WELL. CLOUDS WILL  
BE ON THE INCREASE. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA AS  
HURRICANE IDA MOVES NORTH THROUGH THE GULF OF MEXICO AND A COLD  
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH  
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WEDNESDAY AND  
THURSDAY WILL BE DRY THOUGH SHOWERS RETURN FRIDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT REQUEST...MAX 75.  
RH..................100 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 48 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3800 FT MSL.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG  
TEMP............49 51 55 59 64 67 70 72 73 73 72 69  
RH..............100 100 91 79 66 59 54 51 49 48 51 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3800 FT  
MSL  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 13 13 13 14 14 15 16 17 18 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.  
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 1500 FT MSL.  
STABILITY CLASS.....5.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............65 61 59 57 55 54  
RH..............63 71 77 81 83 87  
20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 SE 6 SE 5 SE 2 E 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 0  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SE SE SE E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 3 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 3 3 3 0  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 FT MSL  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 18 16 13 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.  
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 8 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3100 FT MSL.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............53 59 67 70  
RH..............88 71 54 49  
20 FT WIND......E 1 E 3G5 E 7G10 E 7G10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.0 3 5 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 FT MSL  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...L PYLE  
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT OSBORNE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 20091108.DANCE.01/LZK  
 
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