179  
FNUS74 KLZK 202220  
FWSLZK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FREEDOM OPS...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
520 PM CDT FRI OCT 20 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1700 CDT ON OCTOBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IMMEDIATELY.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY,  
WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND MAYBE A THUNDERSTORM  
IN WESTERN ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD  
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. IT WILL BE MOSTLY  
CLOUDY, WITH LIGHT/MODERATE SOUTHEAST WINDS. IT WILL BE MORE  
GUSTY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE ELEVATED  
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT IN THE PLAINS.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.  
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....D.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
LVORI...............1.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
DISPERSION..........46 DECREASING TO 12 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 6150 FT MSL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............69 68 68 67 67 66 66 65 65 65 65 65  
RH..............72 72 73 73 74 74 75 75 77 78 79 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 9 9 8 8  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.  
RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....B.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
LVORI...............1 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION..........27 INCREASING TO 56.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 5780 FT MSL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............65 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 73 72  
RH..............82 84 83 82 81 80 79 79 73 73 73 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 8 9 9 9 10 9 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30  
 

 
FORECASTER...J LEWIS  
REQUESTED BY...LUKE BALLARD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1717641.0/LZK  
.EMAIL AOICCDISPATCH@GMAIL.COM  
 
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