094  
FNUS74 KMEG 232129  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 37 RX BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
429 PM CDT THU MAR 23 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY, IN ADVANCE OF AN  
APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THUNDERSTORMS  
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE MID SOUTH FRIDAY  
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.  
 
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK WILL  
REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE WITH ADDITIONAL STORM CHANCES FOR MUCH OF NEXT  
WEEK.  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............49.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).4300 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1311 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 6 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5PM  
SKY (%).........38  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0  
TEMP............75  
DEWPOINT........49  
RH..............40  
20 FT WIND DIR..S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3  
MX HT MSL (KFT).4.3  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  
TRANS WIND DIR..S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............53 INCREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE EVENING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1900 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).1800-3500 FT MSL DECREASING TO 700-1900 FT MSL  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...549-1067 METERS AGL DECREASING TO 213-579  
METERS AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 25 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 7 TO 10 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 10 TO  
11 METERS/SECOND AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........39 39 39 39 39 39 39 42 42 42 42 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............74 72 69 67 66 65 64 63 62 61 60 60  
DEWPOINT........51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 60 60  
RH..............43 49 57 63 68 73 78 84 90 97 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 2.6 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.7  
MX HT MSL (KFT).3.5 2.6 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.7  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 16 16 20 23 25 25 25 24 23  
TRANS WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 7 7 9 10 11 11 11 11 10  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5300 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).1500-3200 FT MSL INCREASING TO 3700-5300 FT MSL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...457-975 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 1128-1615  
METERS AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 31 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 10 TO 14 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........42 70 70 75  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10  
TEMP............59 63 71 75  
DEWPOINT........59 59 58 58  
RH..............100 87 63 55  
20 FT WIND......S 12G20 S 12G20 S 13G25 S 14G30  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 2200 3700 5200  
MX HT MSL (FT)..1500 2200 3700 5200  
MIX HGT (M).....460 670 1130 1580  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 S 25 S 30 S 30  
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10 S 11 S 13 S 13  
 

 
FORECASTER...SNIEZAK  
REQUESTED BY...JOHN TOWNSEND  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1705051.1/MEG  
 
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