983  
FNUS76 KMTR 192354  
FWSMTR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR FIRE CZU 00782...CAL FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA  
454 PM PDT THU OCT 19 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0700 PDT ON OCTOBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING LIGHT RAIN TO THE SANTA  
CRUZ MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY NIGHT. ABOUT A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN IS  
EXPECTED. RAIN SHOULD END BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. FRIDAY WILL BE A COOL  
DAY WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND WILL BEGIN  
ON SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA AND  
WINDS SHIFT FROM NORTHWEST TO NORTH. THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE  
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND NORTHERLY WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE BY  
SUNDAY MORNING.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
MARINE LAYER........NONE.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 13 MPH DURING THE EVENING.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH DURING THE EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MARINE LAYER........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. WARMER.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
12 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
17 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MARINE LAYER........NONE.  
 

 
FORECASTER...D_DYKEMA  
REQUESTED BY...JEFF DAVIDSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1717585.0/MTR  
.EMAIL JDAVIDSON3212@COMCAST.NET  
 
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