905
FNUS75 KBOU 060345
FWSBOU
SPOT FORECAST FOR YOUNG...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
945 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2008
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WEAK DISTURBANCE COUPLED WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AT
ALL LEVELS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ON
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE A BIT COOLER AS A WEAK COLD FRONT AND
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN A BIT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL INCREASE. DUE TO WEAK WINDS ALOFT...SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL
REMAIN POOR.
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52.
MAX HUMIDITY........68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 2-5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AROUND
SHOWERS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY
CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81.
MIN HUMIDITY........32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 4-10
MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH UP TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 10000-11000 FT AGL
AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY
CLOUDY(40-50%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48.
MAX HUMIDITY........65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 4-10 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 6-10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80.
MIN HUMIDITY........24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 9800-10800 FT AGL
AFTER 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL
SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 12 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 80. TYPICAL
SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 12 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. TYPICAL
SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 12 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. TYPICAL
SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 12 MPH.
EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR YOUNG.
+++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH
INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED
IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST.
PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS
BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++
FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV
VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG
MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT
07/05-21 57 20 69 39 W 9 9 3 3 W17 1551 SW 9 12918 P
07/05-22 57 20 65 44 W 7 3 1147 W 9 9402 P
07/05-23 57 20 64 47 W 6 3 742 W 8 5886 P
07/06-00 46 0 61 51 W 7 7 2 1 W21 338 W 8 2371 P
07/06-01 46 0 59 55 W 8 1 289 W 9 2166 P
07/06-02 46 0 57 59 SW 10 1 241 W 9 1961 P
07/06-03 46 0 56 63 SW 12 12 2 1 W17 192 SW 10 1757 P
07/06-04 46 0 54 67 W 10 1 197 W 9 1639 P
07/06-05 46 0 54 67 W 8 1 203 W 9 1521 P
07/06-06 37 0 54 68 W 7 7 2 1 W15 209 W 8 1403 P
07/06-07 37 0 57 62 NW 6 1 1677 NW 7 8818 P
07/06-08 37 0 61 54 N 5 1 3145 NW 7 16233 P
07/06-09 37 0 67 46 NE 5 5 2 1 W14 4614 N 6 23648 P
07/06-10 37 0 71 40 NE 6 1 6488 N 6 27976 P
07/06-11 37 0 75 37 NE 7 1 8363 NW 5 32303 P
07/06-12 70 40 76 35 NE 8 8 2 4 NW12 10238 NW 5 36630 P
07/06-13 70 40 78 34 E 7 4 10510 NW 3 28945 P
07/06-14 70 40 79 33 E 7 4 10782 N 2 21260 P
07/06-15 70 40 79 32 E 6 6 2 4 NW10 11054 CALM 13574 P
07/06-16 70 40 80 32 E 7 4 10496 NE 2 19937 P
07/06-17 70 40 79 33 SE 8 4 9937 E 3 26299 P
07/06-18 67 22 77 34 SE 9 9 2 4 NW 8 9378 SE 3 32662 P
07/06-19 67 22 75 40 S 5 4 6392 SW 9 42445 F
07/06-20 67 22 70 48 S 5 4 4049 S 10 29904 P
07/06-21 67 22 64 57 S 5 5 3 4 NW13 1705 S 12 17364 P
07/06-22 67 22 61 59 S 6 4 1220 S 10 12005 P
07/06-23 67 22 59 56 SW 6 4 734 S 8 6646 P
07/07-00 45 0 57 54 W 7 7 3 1 W13 248 SW 6 1286 P
07/07-01 45 0 55 54 W 7 1 246 SW 7 1385 P
07/07-02 45 0 53 56 W 8 1 244 W 7 1484 P
07/07-03 45 0 51 59 W 8 8 2 1 W15 242 NW 8 1583 P
07/07-04 45 0 50 63 W 8 1 216 NW 7 1344 P
07/07-05 45 0 50 64 W 7 1 191 W 7 1104 P
07/07-06 52 12 50 65 W 7 7 3 2 N22 166 W 6 865 P
07/07-07 52 12 53 60 NW 5 2 1363 W 8 14096 P
07/07-08 52 12 58 50 N 3 2 2560 NW 10 27327 P
07/07-09 52 12 64 42 NE 2 2 2 2 NW13 3758 NW 13 40559 F
07/07-10 52 12 69 36 NE 3 2 5757 NW 13 61374 G
07/07-11 52 12 73 32 E 6 2 7756 N 13 82189 G
07/07-12 56 16 75 29 E 8 8 2 3 N12 9755 N 13 103004 V
07/07-13 56 16 77 27 E 7 3 10245 N 13 109374 V
07/07-14 56 16 78 25 E 5 3 10735 N 13 115744 V
07/07-15 56 16 78 25 SE 3 3 2 3 N14 11225 N 13 122114 V
07/07-16 56 16 79 24 E 5 3 10853 N 13 118822 V
07/07-17 56 16 78 25 E 7 3 10480 N 13 115530 V
07/07-18 62 4 77 26 NE 8 8 2 1 N28 10107 N 13 112238 V
07/07-19 62 4 74 28 NE 9 1 7217 N 9 75895 G
07/07-20 62 4 70 33 N 9 1 4328 E 6 39552 P
07/07-21 62 4 64 41 NW 8 8 2 1 N25 1438 SE 2 3208 P
07/07-22 62 4 61 46 NW 6 1 1029 S 3 2369 P
07/07-23 62 4 59 49 W 5 1 621 SW 3 1529 P
07/08-00 19 0 57 52 W 3 3 3 1 N23 212 SW 3 689 P
07/08-01 19 0 55 56 W 3 1 187 W 3 598 P
07/08-02 19 0 53 59 W 3 1 162 W 3 507 P
07/08-03 19 0 51 62 W 3 3 3 1 N22 137 W 3 417 P
07/08-04 19 0 50 65 W 5 1 135 W 3 464 P
07/08-05 19 0 50 64 W 5 1 133 W 5 511 P
07/08-06 14 0 50 64 W 6 6 3 1 N20 131 W 5 558 P
07/08-07 14 0 53 60 W 7 1 881 NW 3 1561 P
07/08-08 14 0 58 51 NW 8 1 1631 N 2 2564 P
07/08-09 14 0 63 43 N 9 9 3 1 N14 2381 CALM 3566 P
07/08-10 14 0 68 36 N 10 1 4897 CALM 5341 P
07/08-11 14 0 72 32 E 12 1 7414 CALM 7116 P
07/08-12 46 4 74 29 E 12 12 2 1 N12 9930 CALM 8891 P
07/08-13 46 4 75 27 E 12 1 10294 SW 2 21167 P
07/08-14 46 4 77 26 E 12 1 10659 SW 3 33442 P
07/08-15 46 4 77 25 E 12 12 3 1 NW14 11023 SW 5 45718 F
07/08-16 46 4 77 25 SE 12 1 10790 SW 7 61695 G
07/08-17 46 4 77 26 SE 12 1 10558 S 8 77672 G
07/08-18 39 5 75 27 SE 10 10 3 2 W16 10326 S 10 93649 G
KEY:
FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
VALID AT
SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/
TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI - HAINES INDEX
LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD
V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20080705.YOUNG.01/BOU
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