361  
FNUS75 KPUB 132331  
FWSPUB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 43 FIRE...BACA COUNTY SHERIFF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO  
431 PM MST TUE FEB 13 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1700 MST ON FEBRUARY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS IN COMBINATION WITH WELL ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE  
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE BURN SITE INTO WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION,  
NEAR CRITICAL TO LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE  
ANTICIPATED OVER THE BURN SITE WEDNESDAY AS INCREASING WINDS INTERACT  
WITH EXISTING DRY CONDITIONS AND PROJECTED LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30 PERCENT).  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-39F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........62-71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH WITH LOCALIZED WIND  
GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AT TIMES.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000, THEN 1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000, THEN POOR.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(56 PERCENT).  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-79F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........5-14 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 15  
MPH WITH LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH AT TIMES.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, THEN 7500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN  
VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300, THEN EXCELLENT.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...WFO PUEBLO  
REQUESTED BY...BACA COUNTY SHERIFF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1801906.0/PUB  
 
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