865  
FXUS63 KGLD 131121  
AFDGLD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS  
421 AM MST WED DEC 13 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 315 AM MST WED DEC 13 2017  
 
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING, WITH A PERIOD  
OF GUSTY NORTH WINDS BEHIND IT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAY DROP  
INTO THE UPPER TEENS THIS AFTERNOON, BUT WINDS WILL BE  
DIMINISHING BY THAT TIME AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES SOUTH. SO,  
EXPECTING ELEVATED BUT NOT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.  
TONIGHT, THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING AFTER  
MIDNIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING DOWN THE  
ROCKIES. THE LIGHT SNOW MAY SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS EARLY  
THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.  
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS  
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN/LIGHT SNOW  
MAINLY TO EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO  
THE LOWER 40S, SO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED, BUT WET BULB ZERO  
HEIGHTS STILL LOW ENOUGH TO MENTION SNOW. PRECIPITATION CHANCES  
WILL BE ENDING BY 00Z WITH THESE FAST MOVING FEATURES. AS SKIES  
CLEAR AND WINDS DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT, TEMPERATURES WILL FALL  
INTO THE TEENS BY FRIDAY MORNING. UPPER RIDGE WILL REBUILD ON  
FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 50S.  
DOWNSLOPING WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL HELP WITH THE WARMING, BUT  
ALSO SHOULD TANK DEW POINTS. AS A RESULT, ELEVATED TO LOCALLY  
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 223 AM MST WED DEC 13 2017  
 
AT THE START OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD THE MODELS ARE SHOWING AN UPPER  
LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE  
FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SATURDAY  
NIGHT INTO THE EARLY HOURS OF SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION IS  
EXPECTED TO START OUT AS RAIN SHOWERS, THEN BECOMING A WINTRY MIX  
BEFORE TURNING INTO SNOW SHOWERS.  
 
BY SUNDAY MORNING, DRY CONDITIONS RETURNS, WITH CLOSER TO NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES, TO THE LOCAL AREA AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST  
OUT OF THE REGION. EXPECT THE AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES TO REACH  
THE LOWER 40S.  
 
FOR THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WITH THE  
TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK INTO THE ABOVE NORMAL RANGE. AFTERNOON  
HIGH TEMPERATURE WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 50S.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)  
ISSUED AT 420 AM MST WED DEC 13 2017  
 
VFR EXPECTED AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. GUSTY  
NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY MID MORNING BEHIND A COLD  
FRONT AND PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, DIMINISHING BY SUNSET.  
 

 
   
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...NONE.  
CO...NONE.  
NE...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...024  
LONG TERM...BW  
AVIATION...024  
 
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