258  
FNUS72 KKEY 142001  
FWSKEY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG PINE KEY 9.2 NIGHT...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL  
401 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2023  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (305) 295-1316 EXT 3, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WEAK BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTH TOWARDS THE  
ISLAND CHAIN ARRIVING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. MEANWHILE, AN  
APPROACHING ARCTIC HIGH WILL PUSH A SECONDARY FRONT ACROSS THE  
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS SOMETIME SUNDAY  
NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THIS  
EVENING, PEAKING OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BEST THUNDER  
CHANCES WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING INTO SUNDAY. WEST WINDS NEAR 10  
MPH THIS EVENING WILL CLOCK AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY  
NORTHWEST TO NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT AND INCREASE SUNDAY AND  
SUNDAY NIGHT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH THIS EVENING,  
DECREASING TO NEAR 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....44 DECREASING TO 9.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50  
LAL.............1 2 2 2 2 2  
TEMP............89 84 82 81 81 81  
RH..............73 85 88 91 91 88  
20 FT WIND......W 12 W 10 W 10 NW 9 NW 8 NW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 15 15 13 12 12  
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 8 W 7 W 7 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.11 11 11 9 8 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....2900 2000 1600 1200 1200 1000  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 W 15 W 14 NW 13 NW 12 W 10  
DISPERSION......44 21 15 13 10 7  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR 5 MPH, INCREASING TO  
7 TO 9 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 16 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 36.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50  
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2  
TEMP............80 81 87 88 89 87  
RH..............91 85 70 66 64 68  
20 FT WIND......W 7 W 9 W 9 W 8 W 9 W 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 13 13 12 13 13  
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 5 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 9 9 8 9 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1700 2900 3700 3700 3500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 12 W 13 W 13 W 14 W 14  
DISPERSION......10 20 29 35 37 38  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT EARLY, DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 21 EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 28 AFTER 3 AM.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 20 20  
LAL.............2 1 1 1  
TEMP............87 79 78 77  
RH..............65 82 85 79  
20 FT WIND......W 9G14 NW 10G15 NW 13G16 NW 15G21  
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 6G10 NW 7G11 NW 9G11 NW 11G15  
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 2100 2000 2600  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 NW 15 NW 16 NW 20  
DISPERSION......31 18 19 26  
 

 
FORECASTER...MJV  
REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2322276.3/KEY  
.DELDT 10/14/23  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GREG_SUSZEK@FWS.GOV  
 
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