619  
FNUS72 KTAE 271240  
FWSTAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
840 AM EDT THU APR 27 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (850) 942-8833, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS  
THROUGH THE PERIOD, SO NO RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. STRONG  
WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL CAUSE HIGH DISPERSIONS ACROSS THE AREA  
THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT REQUEST...MAX 84.  
RH..................76 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE  
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 1200-3000 FT  
AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3800 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 24  
TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 64.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........52 50 51 53 54 54 55 56  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
TEMP............77 79 80 81 83 82 82 82  
RH..............76 74 69 67 63 65 65 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 15 16 16 16 16 15 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 24 24 24 25 25 25 24  
DISPERSION......50 58 60 62 68 67 65 59  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 72.  
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 6  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....59 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM  
SKY (%).........57 57 58 58 59 60 57 51 48 49 52 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............81 79 77 76 75 74 74 73 73 73 72 72  
RH..............69 77 82 85 84 87 87 90 90 87 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 10 9 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.5 2.1 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 18 18 18 6 6 6 5 5 5 3  
DISPERSION......57 61 23 16 13 5 4 4 3 3 3 2  
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 89.  
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3300 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 15 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 54 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 61  
DECREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........53 53 53 53 53 53 48 37 32 29 24 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............73 73 73 76 78 80 82 84 85 86 86 86  
RH..............87 90 90 85 79 77 69 63 59 59 59 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 6 8 10 12 12 12 12 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 9 9 9 17 17 17 18 18 18 15  
DISPERSION......2 2 12 17 23 51 53 56 62 61 60 48  
LVORI...........6 6 4 4 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 2  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...BARRY  
REQUESTED BY...MARGIE BURRELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1707861.0/TAE  
.EMAIL FICC.DEMOB@GMAIL.COM  
 
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