239
FXUS64 KMOB 071009
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
400 AM CST WED JAN 7 2009
SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF
DESTIN..TAKING THE THUNDERSTORMS EAST WITH IT. LIGHT RAIN AND
SHOWERS SHOULD END BEFORE SUNRISE OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS...MAY BE
A FEW LINGERING PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING OVER THE
EXTREME SOUTHEAST ZONES BUT NOT ENOUGH TO WARRANT A MENTION IN THE
FORECAST. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CANCELLED WITH THE ZONE
ISSUANCE AT 4 AM. A FEW CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS THIS
MORNING...OTHERWISE GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TONIGHT. THE AIR
MASS BEHIND THE FRONT IS NOT VERY COLD AND ONLY EXPECT LOWS TONIGHT
IN AROUND 40...LOWER TO MID 40S OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES. WILL BE A
RATHER BREEZY WESTERLY WIND TODAY AFTER A FEW HOURS OF
MIXING...DON'T THINK IT WILL REQUIRE A WIND ADVISORY BUT WILL BEAR
WATCHING. /11
LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
UPPER FLOW BECOMES ZONAL
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO WARM INTO THE MID AND
UPPER 60S. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON
SATURDAY AS LACK OF QUALITY MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL
KEEP INSTABILITY LEVELS RATHER LOW. THIS FRONT WILL BRING A COOLER
AND DRIER AIRMASS TO THE REGION FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES
RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEFORE COOLING TO BELOW
NORMAL LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
LATE IN THE PERIOD COULD BRING WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPS TO THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. /13
AVIATION...07/12Z
GENERALLY VFR THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS. MAY BE A
FEW PATCHES OF MVFR THIS MORNING OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN AREAS
WHERE A STRAY SHOWER MAY LINGER UNTIL SUNRISE. WILL BE MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS...DIMINISHING LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. /11
MARINE
WEST WINDS AT BUOY 42040 AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUST TO
BETWEEN 30 AND 35 WILL CONTINUE TODAY...INCREASING A BIT AFTER
SUNRISE AND SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE MARINE ZONES. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE UP UNTIL NOON FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS AND BAYS AND
THROUGH THE EVENING FOR THE OUTER LEGS. WIND GUIDANCE SHOWS THE
WINDS DIMINISHING FAIRLY QUICKLY THIS AFTERNOON...NORMALLY WOULD
EXPECT THE WINDS TO REMAIN UP LONGER BUT WEAK SURFACE RIDGE FORECAST
TO MOVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND
KNOCK THE WINDS DOWN WITH THE SEAS SUBSIDING AFTER A FEW HOURS.
WESTERLY WINDS INCREASE A BIT ON THURSDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. NEXT FRONT DUE ON SATURDAY AND THE WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHWEST TO WEST FOLLOWING SATURDAYS FRONT. /11
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 63 42 68 45 / 00 05 00 00
PENSACOLA 66 45 70 48 / 05 05 00 00
DESTIN 65 48 68 49 / 10 05 00 00
EVERGREEN 60 42 66 38 / 05 05 00 00
WAYNESBORO 58 40 66 37 / 00 00 00 00
CAMDEN 59 42 64 37 / 05 00 00 00
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT
20 NM...AND MOBILE BAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60
NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
TO 60 NM.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page