086  
FNUS72 KGSP 171556  
FWSGSP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF CREEK...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
1156 AM EDT WED MAY 17 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SUMMERLIKE BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION THROUGH  
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, MAINTAINING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND  
INCREASING CHANCES FOR MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ON SATURDAY, A COLD FRONT MAY  
DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTH TO BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR  
THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST  
SUNDAY NIGHT, AND THEN SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5400 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (48900-87600 KNOT-FT),  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (99600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................54, INCREASING TO 104.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........25000.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....8.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...27.44.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 4 7 9 11 13 15 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............73 77 80 83 84 85 86 86  
DEWPOINT........61 59 56 55 55 55 55 55  
RH..............66 53 43 39 36 35 35 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 8 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 5.4 6.0 6.6 7.2 7.5 7.8 8.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 18 20 18 17 18 20 21  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............54 79 87 85 83 90 97 104  
VRATE KT-FT/100049 88 100 104 108 120 134 146  
CEILING (HFT)...250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8  
SFC PRES (IN)...749 749 749 748 747 746 745 744  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING, BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-7200 FT AGL, DECREASING TO 500-1400 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (79700 KNOT-FT), DECREASING TO POOR  
(3700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................94, DECREASING TO 4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....5.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........25000.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....8.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...27.44.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........19 22 24 27 29 32 35 38 40 42 44 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............84 82 78 74 72 69 68 66 65 64 62 61  
DEWPOINT........55 55 55 55 54 54 54 54 54 55 55 56  
RH..............36 40 45 50 55 58 62 66 68 72 78 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.2 6.3 5.3 4.0 2.7 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 17 17 17 17 15 13 10 9 9 9  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
ADI.............94 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 5 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1000124 100 80 61 42 22 15 9 5 4 4 4  
CEILING (HFT)...250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250  
VISIBILITY (SM).8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
SFC PRES (IN)...744 744 744 745 746 747 748 748 749 749 749 749  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS, BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 5500-7200 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5600-54300 KNOT-FT), INCREASING  
TO EXCELLENT (66400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................5 TO 10 EARLY, INCREASING TO 50 TO 55 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........25000, DECREASING TO 6000 IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....7 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...27.44.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........48 50 52 53 55 56 58 59 61 59 57 55  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............61 62 63 66 70 74 77 79 80 81 81 81  
DEWPOINT........57 57 58 59 60 61 61 61 62 62 62 63  
RH..............86 84 84 77 69 63 58 55 53 52 52 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 1.3 2.4 3.5 4.6 5.5 6.3 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15  
LVORI...........5 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............4 12 15 29 44 55 44 47 48 52 52 52  
VRATE KT-FT/10006 8 10 22 37 54 66 77 88 90 92 92  
CEILING (HFT)...250 250 250 80 80 80 80 60 60 60 60 60  
VISIBILITY (SM).7 8 8  
SFC PRES (IN)...749 750 750 750 750 751 750 749 749 747 745 744  
 

 
FORECASTER...JOSH PALMER/HARRY GERAPETRITIS  
REQUESTED BY...GARY CURCIO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...TEST  
.TAG 1709639.0/GSP  
 
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