854  
FXUS62 KFFC 300730  
AFDFFC  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA  
330 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016  
 
   
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
 
 
QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THIS SHORT TERM PERIOD.  
 
THE 500MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES N THIS PERIOD WHICH FURTHER  
MINIMIZES ITS EFFECT ON THE FORECAST AREA. SOME CLOUD COVER CAN  
BE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN COUNTIES TODAY BUT FOR THE MOST PART  
LITTLE OR NO CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST  
AREA AND HENCE DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. WITH THE SURFACE  
FRONT OVER SE GA DRIFTING AWAY...A COOLER AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE  
TO MOVE IN OVER THE AREA TODAY.  
 
FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING NEAR TO 4 DEGREES BELOW  
NORMAL TODAY AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR SATURDAY. FORECAST LOW  
TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING 5-9 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR TONIGHT.  
 
OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.  
 
BDL  
 
   
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
 
 
NLISTEMAA  
VERY LITTLE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION FOR THE CWFA IN THE LONG TERM  
PORTION OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST.  
 
A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE SE US THROUGH  
EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE SHIFTING EASTWARD. RIDGING ALOFT WILL BUILD  
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD,  
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE AT THE SURFACE. THE RIDGING AT THE  
SURFACE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS  
A FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. MODELS CURRENTLY PROG THE FRONT TO  
BEGIN APPROACHING THE CWFA BY FRIDAY.  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD, BUT  
BEGIN TO CREEP TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL VALUES BY MID TO LATE NEXT  
WEEK.  
 
STILL OF NOTE...THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST DOES KEEP MATTHEW MOVING  
JUST EAST OF THE FL PENINSULA. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF HANDLE THE  
HURRICANE A LITTLE DIFFERENTLY WITH TIMING AND LOCATION NEXT WEEK,  
BUT THEY BOTH ARE KEEPING THE STORM OFFSHORE THE SE COAST OF THE US.  
HOWEVER,INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT OF ANY CHANGES IN THE  
TRACK.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
WHILE NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...  
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GET DOWN INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S  
FOR PORTIONS OF EAST AND CENTRAL GA. A LARGER PORTION OF N AND ALL  
OF CENTRAL GA CAN EXPECT MIN RH'S IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S  
ON SATURDAY WITH SOME AREAS OF CENTRAL GA AROUND 25 PERCENT.  
WINDS OF 10 MPH OR LESS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND MAINLY LIGHT WINDS  
FOR SATURDAY.  
 

 
   
AVIATION... 06Z UPDATE
 
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH CLEAR TO  
SCT CU/SC/AC IN THE 4500-9000 FT RANGE. SURFACE WINDS NNW BECOMING  
WNW 10 KTS OR LESS THROUGH THE DAY.  
 
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...  
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.  
 
BDL  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
ATHENS 77 51 82 55 / 0 0 0 0  
ATLANTA 75 55 80 60 / 0 0 0 0  
BLAIRSVILLE 71 47 75 51 / 0 0 0 0  
CARTERSVILLE 74 48 79 55 / 0 0 0 0  
COLUMBUS 78 54 84 59 / 0 0 0 0  
GAINESVILLE 74 53 78 57 / 0 0 0 0  
MACON 80 50 84 54 / 0 0 0 0  
ROME 75 50 80 54 / 0 0 5 0  
PEACHTREE CITY 75 50 81 54 / 0 0 0 0  
VIDALIA 85 57 86 61 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...BDL  
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA  
AVIATION...BDL  
 
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