899  
FXUS62 KFFC 271138  
AFDFFC  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA  
740 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2015  
   
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
 
 
TUESDAYS SHORT WAVE HAS DRIFTED MOSTLY TO THE EAST BUT A PORTION OF  
IT MAY TRAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL ZONES TODAY. MODELS CONSISTENT IN  
SHOWING A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRYING MAINLY NORTH TODAY. HAVE REDUCED  
THE POPS FOR THE DAY ACROSS THE NORTH...BUT WITH AFTERNOON HEATING  
AND REMNANTS OF THE SHORT WAVE...LIKELY POPS LOOK OKAY FOR CENTRAL  
ZONES THIS AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS SHOULD BE THE MAIN  
THREATS. THURSDAY LOOKS UNSETTLED WITH LINGERING MOISTURE AND  
INSTABILITY. NO REAL FEATURE TO FOCUS ON EXCEPT SOME WEAK RIPPLES IN  
THE SOUTHWEST FLOW. SO GENERALLY HAVE CHANCE POPS FOR THE DAY MOST  
AREAS...35 TO 45 PERCENT.  
 
HAVE ADDED A MENTION OF FOG THIS MORNING AS SOME PLACES HAVE DROPPED BELOW  
3 MILES VISIBILITY. NOT THINKING DENSE FOG WILL BE WIDESPREAD  
ENOUGH FOR AN ADVISORY.  
 
41  
   
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
 
 
A MOIST AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TO START THE LONG TERM  
WITH A MUCH WEAKER SW FLOW ALOFT. PRECIP CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO  
HAVE A MORE DIURNAL TENDENCY WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES OVER N GA  
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH SOME DRIER AIR MOVING OVER PORTIONS  
OF CENTRAL GA.  
 
THE TENDENCY TO FAVOR N GA WITH THE HIGHEST POPS CONTINUES SATURDAY  
AS THE RIDGE ALOFT BUILDS SOME ON SATURDAY FAVORING CENTRAL GA.  
SLIGHTLY INCREASED SW FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY WILL FAVOR ONCE AGAIN N GA  
WITH THE HIGHEST POPS AND THIS IS WHERE THE BEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY  
WILL BE...AS WILL BE THE CASE FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  
 
INCREASED DEEPER MOISTURE MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL ALLOW FOR CHANCE TO  
LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE AREA AS AN UPPER TROUGH DRIFTS TOWARD THE STATE.  
THE EUROPEAN BRINGS THE TROUGH TO GA WHILE THE GFS HOLDS THE TROUGH  
OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY.  
 
TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND TO SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH  
THE LONG TERM.  
 
BDL  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
12Z UPDATE... IFR CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE GRADUALLY WITH SOME LOW  
VFR POSSIBLE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. MORE CONVECTION EXPECTED TODAY AND  
HAVE INCLUDED PROB30 TSRA IN ALL TAFS. MOST FAVORABLE TIME FOR  
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. WINDS MAY SWITCH  
TO LIGHT SOUTHWEST LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
 
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE... MEDIUM ON CEILING IMPROVEMENT  
TIMING AND SW WINDS. MEDIUM TO HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS.  
 
41  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
ATHENS 85 66 85 65 / 50 30 40 40  
ATLANTA 83 68 84 67 / 50 30 40 30  
BLAIRSVILLE 79 61 80 62 / 40 30 40 50  
CARTERSVILLE 83 65 83 66 / 40 30 50 40  
COLUMBUS 86 68 87 67 / 60 30 40 20  
GAINESVILLE 81 66 83 65 / 40 30 40 50  
MACON 86 66 87 65 / 60 30 40 20  
ROME 83 65 84 66 / 40 30 40 40  
PEACHTREE CITY 84 65 85 65 / 60 30 40 30  
VIDALIA 87 67 87 66 / 50 30 20 10  
 

 
   
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...41  
LONG TERM....BDL  
AVIATION...41  
 
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