132  
FXUS62 KFFC 301511  
AFDFFC  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA  
1111 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014  
   
UPDATE
 
 
FORECAST LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK WITH DRY/COOL AIRMASS ADVECTING INTO THE  
CWA BEFORE THE NEXT DISTURBANCE LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. SOME  
SUB FREEZING TEMPS ARE A GOOD BET IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF  
NORTHEAST GA SATURDAY MORNING AND WILL BE LOOKING INTO FREEZE  
WATCH POTENTIAL WITH AFTERNOON FORECAST UPDATE. AS SOME LIGHT  
SNOW IN THE FAR NORTHEAST IS STILL POSSIBLE...CANNOT RULE OUT SOME  
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS MAINLY UNDER HALF AN INCH FOR FRIDAY NIGHT/SAT  
MORNING. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...  
 
BAKER  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 749 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014/  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 432 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014/  
   
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
 
 
A DRY...COLD AIR MASS HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE COLD  
FRONT...NOW EXTENDING ALONG THE GEORGIA COASTLINE AND INTO NORTHERN  
FLORIDA. SHORT TERM LARGELY REMAINS UNEVENTFUL...WITH DEEP LAYER  
COLD AIR ADVECTION RESULTING IN EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES 10-15  
DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. THIS BELOW NORMAL TREND CONTINUES  
FRIDAY MORNING AHEAD OF ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE THAT WILL PUSH  
THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY FRIDAY. EXPECT THIS REINFORCING FRONT  
TO PRODUCE SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES THE AREA HAS SEEN SO FAR  
THIS SEASON INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE SOME MOISTURE MOVING INTO FAR NORTH  
GEORGIA AS THIS FRONT APPROACHES...AND SO HAVE CONTINUED WITH  
MENTION OF SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE RAIN ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF THIS MOISTURE AND COLD TEMPERATURES  
COULD RESULT IN POTENTIAL WINTER PRECIP IN THE FAR NORTH GEORGIA  
MOUNTAINS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING /SEE EXTENDED/.  
 
THE TIMING OF THIS FRONT THROUGH THE AREA MEANS THAT HALLOWEEN TRICK  
OR TREATING WILL BE WINDY AND CHILLY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTH  
GEORGIA. BY 6PM FRIDAY...EXPECT THE TEMPERATURE TO FEEL LIKE TO BE  
IN THE UPPER 50S TO RIGHT AROUND 60...OR COLDER.  
 
31  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
 
 
STRONG COLD CORE SHORT WAVE EXPECTED TO BE CROSSING THE SOUTHERN  
APPALACHIANS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. LIGHT PRECIPITATION  
AMOUNTS EXPECTED MAINLY FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY ACROSS  
NORTH GEORGIA...NORTH OF ATLANTA TO ATHENS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS GO  
BELOW FREEZING LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND THIS WILL SUPPORT A MIX ON  
RAIN/SNOW DURING THAT TIME FOR THE NORTHEAST. ACCUMULATION STILL  
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN ONE HALF INCH. SATURDAY SHOULD BE WINDY  
WITH GOOD COLD AIR ADVECTION. THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK ACROSS  
THE STATE THROUGH THE FIRST OF THE WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR  
SHOWERS SHOULD BE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME AS THE  
INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY FLOW BRINGS MOISTURE BACK INTO THE  
SOUTHEAST.  
 
41  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
12Z UPDATE...  
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS OF  
5-8KT TODAY...WITH SOME BRIEF PERIODS OF NNE WINDS LATE MORNING  
THROUGH AFTERNOON AT SOME LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO CALM  
AFTER 00Z...THEN INCREASE TO 5-8KT AFTER 12Z FRIDAY.  
 
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...  
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.  
 
31  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
ATHENS 68 42 67 38 / 0 0 5 10  
ATLANTA 67 45 65 37 / 0 0 5 10  
BLAIRSVILLE 62 36 58 33 / 0 0 30 30  
CARTERSVILLE 66 40 65 35 / 0 0 10 10  
COLUMBUS 71 45 71 40 / 0 0 0 0  
GAINESVILLE 65 44 62 37 / 0 0 10 20  
MACON 72 42 70 38 / 0 0 0 0  
ROME 67 40 65 35 / 0 0 20 10  
PEACHTREE CITY 68 40 69 36 / 0 0 5 5  
VIDALIA 73 48 71 44 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...31/BAKER  
LONG TERM...41  
AVIATION...31  
 
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