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FGMY70 PGUM 060735
ESFGUM
GUZ001-MPZ001>003-062100-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
535 PM CHST FRI OCT 6 2023
..HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE BEGINNING MONDAY
A DEVELOPING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE, KNOWN AS INVEST 98W FROM THE
JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER, IS CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST NORTHWEST
OF POHNPEI NEAR 8N155E. ALL NUMERICAL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW
THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ORGANIZE AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE
MARIANAS, PASSING THROUGH THIS REGION SOMETIME TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. AS IT APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE AREA, LOCALLY
HEAVY SHOWERS ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE.
ALTHOUGH IT'S STILL TOO EARLY TO TALK ABOUT STRENGTH AND TRACK
CONCERNS, AS THERE'S STILL A LOT OF VARIABILITY AMONGST THE
DIFFERENT MODELS REGARDING THIS, ONE THING THAT LOOKS INCREASINGLY
CERTAIN IS AT LEAST LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP.
TIMING: MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
RAINFALL: 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE.
ZIOBRO
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