767
AXUS73 KOAX 102000
DGTOAX
IAC071-085-129-133-137-145-155-165-NEC003-011-021-023-025-027-037-
039-053-055-067-095-097-107-109-119-127-131-133-139-141-147-151-
153-155-159-167-173-177-179-122000-
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
300 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013
..SHORT-TERM DROUGHT IMPACTS EASE
WITH LONGER-TERM DRYNESS
LINGERING...
SYNOPSIS...
COLDER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS HAVE PERSISTED ACROSS EASTERN
NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA THROUGH THE PAST TWO WEEKS. WETTER THAN
NORMAL CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED OVER MUCH OF NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
INTO NORTHWEST IOWA...AS WELL AS IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA INTO WEST
CENTRAL IOWA. BETWEEN THOSE TWO AREAS...DRIER THAN NORMAL
CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED...PARTICULARLY FROM AROUND LINCOLN TO
FREMONT AND WESTWARD.
EXTREME (D3) DROUGHT:
KNOX...CEDAR...ANTELOPE...PIERCE...WAYNE...BOONE...AND MADISON
COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA. IN AN EXTREME DROUGHT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS
INCLUDE MAJOR CROP/PASTURE LOSSES AND WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES
OR RESTRICTIONS.
SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT:
THURSTON...STANTON...CUMING...BURT...PLATTE...COLFAX...DODGE...
WASHINGTON...BUTLER...SAUNDERS...DOUGLAS...SEWARD... SALINE...
LANCASTER...AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA... AND MONONA
COUNTY IN IOWA. IN SEVERE DROUGHT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS INCLUDE
LIKELY CROP/PASTURE LOSSES...AND WATER SHORTAGES MAY BE
COMMON...WITH WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED.
MODERATE (D1) DROUGHT:
SARPY...CASS...OTOE...GAGE...AND JOHNSON COUNTIES IN
NEBRASKA...AND HARRISON...POTTAWATTAMIE...AND MILLS COUNTIES IN
IOWA. IN MODERATE DROUGHT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS INCLUDE SOME DAMAGE
TO CROPS/PASTURES...AND STREAMS...RESERVOIRS...OR WELLS MAY BE
LOW...WTIH SOME WATER SHORTAGES DEVELOPING OR IMMINENT...AND
VOLUNTARY WATER USE RESTRICTIONS MAY BE REQUESTED.
ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS:
NEMAHA...PAWNEE...AND RICHARD COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA...AND
MONTGOMERY...FREMONT...AND PAGE COUNTIES IN IOWA. IN ABNORMALLY
DRY CONDITIONS WHEN EMERGING FROM DROUGHT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS
INCLUDE CROPS/PASTURES NOT FULLY RECOVERED AND SOME LINGERING
WATER DEFICITS.
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
RECENT RAINFALL CONTINUES TO ALLEVIATE SHORT-TERM SOIL MOISTURE
DEFICITS...THOUGH LONGER TERM AND DEEPER SOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS
STILL LINGER. THE START OF THE GROWING SEASON HAS BEEN DELAYED BY
MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL WEATHER.
STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS...
NO STATE OR LOCAL ACTIONS ARE KNOWN AT THIS TIME.
SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS...
IN NEBRASKA...TOPSOIL MOISTURE AS OF MAY 5 WAS RATED 13 PERCENT
VERY SHORT...23 PERCENT SHORT...60 PERCENT ADEQUATE...AND 4
PERCENT SURPLUS. SUBSOIL MOISTURE REPORTS INDICATED 42 PERCENT
VERY SHORT...42 PERCENT SHORT...16 PERCENT ADEQUATE...AND 0
PERCENT SURPLUS. IN WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST IOWA...TOPSOIL
MOISTURE WAS RATED 0 TO 2 PERCENT VERY SHORT...1 TO 11 PERCENT
SHORT...50 TO 73 PERCENT ADEQUATE...AND 26 TO 37 PERCENT SURPLUS.
SUBSOIL MOISTURE REPORTS INDICATED 3 TO 7 PERCENT VERY SHORT...30
TO 36 PERCENT SHORT...56 TO 58 PERCENT ADEQUATE...AND 3 TO 7
PERCENT SURPLUS. TOPSOIL AND SUBSOIL MOISTURE HAVE IMPROVED
SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE AREA IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS.
AGRICULTURE IMPACTS...
DUE TO THE COOL TEMPERATURES...PLANTING IS LAGGING WELL BEHIND
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
STREAM FLOW AND GROUND WATER IMPACTS...
RIVER LEVELS ARE RUNNING SLIGHTLY BELOW TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. GROUNDWATER LEVELS ARE LARGELY NEAR NORMAL.
FIRE DANGER HAZARDS...
FIRE DANGER CONCERNS HAVE BEEN MINIMAL IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS.
WARM WEATHER AND INCREASING SOUTH WINDS...ALONG WITH DELAYED
GREENING...MAY CREATE HIGHER FIRE DANGER IN THE NEXT WEEK.
ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS...
NONE KNOWN AT THIS TIME.
CLIMATE SUMMARY...
PRECIPITATION TOTALS SO FAR IN MAY HAVE BEEN NEAR TOABOVE NORMAL
ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THE STRONGEST DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL IN
SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA TO SOUTHWEST IOWA...AND ALSO NORTH OF THE
PLATTE RIVER AREA IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.
TEMPERATURES SO FAR IN MAY HAVE AVERAGED WELL BELOW NORMAL ACROSS
THE AREA.
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
TEMPERATURES WILL DIP INTO THE 60S THIS WEEKEND...BUT WARMER
WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH HIGHS AROUND 90 TO
THE LOWER 90S POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR
TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK.
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER 8- TO 14-DAY OUTLOOK INDICATED EQUAL
CHANCES FOR ABOVE...NEAR...AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...WITH A 40
TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
THE ONE MONTH OUTLOOK FOR APRIL FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
INDICATES A 33 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE FOR TEMPERATURES IN THE COLDEST
THIRD COMPARED TO CLIMATOLOGY...AND ALSO 33 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION TO BE IN THE WETTEST THIRD COMPARED TO CLIMATOLOGY.
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
RIVER LEVELS WILL SEE SHORT-LIVED RISES WITH RUNOFF FROM
PRECIPITATION SYSTEMS...BUT OTHERWISE...FLOWS REMAIN SLIGHTLY
BELOW TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.
NEXT ISSUANCE...
THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.
RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/...
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
NOAA DROUGHT PORTAL
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
NWS OMAHA/VALLEY
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/OAX
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER
HTTP://DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
MIDWESTERN REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER
HTTP://MRCC.ISWS.ILLINOIS.EDU
HIGH PLAINS REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER
HTTP://WWW.HPRCC.UNL.EDU
NEBRASKA STATE CLIMATE OFFICE
HTTP://CLIMATE.UNL.EDU
IOWA STATE CLIMATE OFFICE
HTTP://WWW.IOWAAGRICULTURE.GOV/CLIMATOLOGY.ASP
DETAILED CROP INFORMATION AT USDA PUBLICATIONS WEB SITE
HTTP://WWW.NASS.USDA.GOV/PUBLICATIONS/STATE_CROP_PROGRESS_AND_
CONDITION/INDEX.ASP
NWS RIVER INFORMATION
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS
USGS RIVER INFORMATION
HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS
HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS...AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE...AND USGS.
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT
THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:
BARBARA MAYES /CLIMATE AND DROUGHT PROGRAM MANAGER/
OR DAVID PEARSON /SERVICE HYDROLOGIST/
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
6707 NORTH 288TH STREET
VALLEY NE 68064
PHONE: 402-359-5166
EMAIL: OAX.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV
RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/...
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
MIDWESTERN REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...
HTTP://MCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU/INDEX.JSP
HIGH PLAINS REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://HPRCC.UNL.EDU
NEBRASKA STATE CLIMATE OFFICE...
HTTP://WWW.NEBRASKACLIMATEOFFICE.UNL.EDU
IOWA CLIMATOLOGY BUREAU...
HTTP://WWW.IOWAAGRICULTURE.GOV/CLIMATOLOGY.ASP
NWS RIVER INFORMATION...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS
USGS RIVER INFORMATION...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEER...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS
BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE
COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
6707 NORTH 288TH STREET
VALLEY, NE 68064-9443
PHONE...402-359-5166
OAX.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV
MAYES
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