852
FGUS73 KFSD 100029 CCA
ESFFSD
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK...CORRECTED TO ADD BASIS STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE RIVER FLOODING IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS
.THE FOLLOWING RIVER INFORMATION IS BASED ON FUTURE PREDICTED
RAINFALL. THE EXACT AMOUNT...INTENSITY...TIMING...AND LOCATION OF THE
RAIN THAT WILL OCCUR IS STILL UNCERTAIN. THESE OUTLOOK STAGES ARE
PROVIDED TO SHOW WHAT MAY BE EXPECTED IF THE FORECAST PRECIPITATION
OCCURS. ONCE THERE IS MORE CERTAINTY ABOUT THE RIVER FORECASTS...A
FLOOD WARNING OR STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED IF THE THREAT MATERIALIZES.
A LARGE AREA OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
LATE TONIGHT AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA
ON SATURDAY MORNING. THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECTED RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM AROUND
A HALF INCH IN SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA TO 1.5 INCHES IN SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA. LOCAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 2 INCHES IN
SOME LOCATIONS. WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF ONE TO 1.5 INCHES
EXPECTED...RIVERS ACROSS THE AREA MAY RISE TO OR EVEN ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE. AT THIS TIME...THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF RIVER FLOODING IS
IN THE BIG SIOUX AND LITTLE SIOUX RIVER BASINS. HOWEVER...IF HEAVIER
RAIN THAN FORECAST OCCURS OTHER RIVERS...INCLUDING THE ROCK
RIVER...JAMES RIVER...VERMILLION RIVER AND FLOYD RIVER COULD REACH
FLOOD STAGE.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=FSD
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS.
SDC005-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT HURON
* THE STAGE AT 6 PM FRIDAY WAS 9.3 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 0.75 TO 1.50 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 9.5
FEET AND 13.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10.3 FEET.
SDC111-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE JAMES RIVER NEAR FORESTBURG
* THE STAGE AT 5 PM FRIDAY WAS 5.1 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH FORECAST TO FALL IN
THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 6.0
FEET AND 13.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE NEAR 9.7 FEET.
SDC035-061-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT MITCHELL
* THE STAGE AT 6 PM FRIDAY WAS 11.7 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH FORECAST TO FALL IN
THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 12.0 FEET
AND 18.5 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS FORECAST TO
BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 14.3 FEET WHICH IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
SDC083-125-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE VERMILLION RIVER NEAR DAVIS
* THE STAGE WAS MISSING...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 7.0
FEET AND 12.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 10.2 FEET WHICH IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
SDC027-125-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE VERMILLION RIVER NEAR WAKONDA
* THE STAGE AT 7 PM FRIDAY WAS 7.0 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
8.0 FEET AND 14.5 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 12.4 FEET WHICH IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
SDC011-101-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE BIG SIOUX RIVER NEAR BROOKINGS
* THE STAGE AT 4 PM FRIDAY WAS 5.3 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 1.00 TO 1.75 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
6.0 FEET AND 12.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 10.2 FEET WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING.
SDC099-101-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE BIG SIOUX RIVER NEAR DELL RAPIDS
* THE STAGE AT 5 PM FRIDAY WAS 6.5 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
7.0 FEET AND 13.5 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 11.2 FEET WHICH IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
SDC099-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE BIG SIOUX RIVER AT SIOUX FALLS 60TH STREET
* THE STAGE AT 4 PM FRIDAY WAS 10.6 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
11.0 FEET AND 14.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 12.8 FEET WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING
IAC119-SDC083-099-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE BIG SIOUX RIVER AT SIOUX FALLS NORTH CLIFF
* THE STAGE AT 4 PM FRIDAY WAS 8.6 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
9.0 FEET AND 17.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 13.1 FEET WHICH WOULD BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
IAC167-SDC083-127-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE BIG SIOUX RIVER AT HAWARDEN
* THE STAGE WAS MISSING...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 12.0
FEET AND 20.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 18.0 FEET WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING.
IAC149-SDC127-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE BIG SIOUX RIVER AT AKRON
* THE STAGE AT 6 PM FRIDAY WAS 12.2 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 13.0
FEET AND 20.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 18.8 FEET WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MODERATE
FLOODING.
MNC133-SDC099-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE SPLIT ROCK CREEK NEAR CORSON
* THE STAGE AT 6 PM FRIDAY WAS 3.2 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
4.0 FEET AND 11.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 7.1 FEET WHICH BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
IAC119-MNC133-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT LUVERNE
* THE STAGE WAS MISSING...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
5.0 FEET AND 11.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 7.5 FEET WHICH IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
IAC119-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT ROCK RAPIDS
* THE STAGE AT 8 AM FRIDAY WAS 9.6 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 10.0
FEET AND 15.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 13.2 FEET WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING.
IAC167-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE FLOYD RIVER AT ALTON
* THE STAGE AT 4 PM FRIDAY WAS 7.0 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
8.0 FEET AND 14.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 11.7 FEET WHICH IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
IAC041-059-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE LITTLE SIOUX RIVER AT SPENCER
* THE STAGE AT 8 AM FRIDAY WAS 9.9 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 1.00 TO 1.75 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
10.0 FEET AND 15.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR 12.5 FEET WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING.
IAC021-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE LITTLE SIOUX RIVER AT LINN GROVE
* THE STAGE AT 8 AM FRIDAY WAS 17.9 FEET...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
18.0 FEET AND 20.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST
IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR 19.2 FEET WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR
FLOODING.
IAC035-110023-
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
..FOR THE LITTLE SIOUX RIVER AT CHEROKEE
* THE STAGE WAS MISSING...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET...
* BASED ON PRECIPITATION OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES FORECAST TO FALL
IN THE NEXT 60 HOURS...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN
14.0 FEET AND 18.0 FEET. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY CREST
IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR 16.4 FEET WHICH IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
LOCATION FLOOD LATEST OBSERVED RANGE OF POSSIBLE CRESTS
STAGE STAGE TIME LOWEST LIKELY HIGHEST
JAMES RIVER
HURS2 11.0 9.30 FRI 6 PM 9.50 10.29 13.00
FORS2 12.0 5.09 FRI 5 PM 6.00 9.71 13.00
JRMS2 17.0 11.71 FRI 6 PM 12.00 14.31 18.00
VERMILLION RIVER
DVSS2 11.0 M 7.00 10.18 12.00
WKAS2 14.0 7.19 FRI 7 AM 8.00 12.35 14.50
BIG SIOUX RIVER
BRKS2 9.0 5.34 FRI 4 PM 6.00 10.21 12.00
DERS2 12.0 6.50 FRI 5 PM 7.00 11.23 13.50
SFLS2 12.0 10.58 FRI 4 PM 11.00 12.77 14.00
SXFS2 16.0 8.56 FRI 4 PM 9.00 13.08 17.00
HAWI4 15.0 M 12.00 17.98 20.00
AKRI4 16.0 12.19 FRI 6 PM 13.00 18.79 20.00
SPLIT ROCK CREEK
COSS2 8.5 3.15 FRI 6 PM 4.00 7.10 11.00
ROCK RIVER
LUVM5 10.0 M 5.00 7.48 11.00
RAPI4 13.0 9.60 FRI 8 AM 10.00 13.16 15.00
FLOYD RIVER
ALTI4 12.0 7.02 FRI 4 PM 8.00 11.71 14.00
LITTLE SIOUX RIVER
SPWI4 10.0 9.92 FRI 8 AM 10.00 12.48 15.00
LNNI4 18.0 17.94 FRI 8 AM 18.00 19.23 20.00
CHKI4 17.0 M 14.00 16.44 18.00
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page