245
FNUS73 KDMX 121352
FWSDMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER VALLEY...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
752 AM CST THU NOV 12 2009
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON NOVEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.
DISCUSSION
A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE OVER THE
REGION TODAY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 26 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (50600 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........36 39 43 45 44 43 41 40 38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............44 48 51 54 56 57 58 56 54
RH..............68 60 56 52 49 47 47 51 54
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.10 10 10 10 11 11 12 12 13
EYE LVL WND GST.20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 1.8 1.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S
MIXNG WIND SPD..20 22 24 25 26 25 25 24 24
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 22 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........38 48 54 59 63 69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP............52 50 48 47 47 46
RH..............59 63 65 68 71 76
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 12 S 12 S 12 S 11 S 11 S 10
EYE LEVEL WIND..25 25 25 25 25 25
MIX HGT (FT)....800 800 600 400 600 600
MIXNG WIND......S 23 S 23 S 23 S 22 S 22 S 22
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 17 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (38200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........73 80 86 88
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP............45 48 56 58
RH..............82 80 62 62
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 10G20 S 10G20 S 11G25 SW 8G15
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1100 1600 2000
MIXNG WIND......S 22 S 21 S 24 S 22
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2
FORECASTER...MOYER
REQUESTED BY...JAMES KRIZMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091112.DEERV.01/DMX
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