983  
FNUS73 KOAX 251349  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CUTLER TURIN WMA...IOWA DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
849 AM CDT FRI MAY 25 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN LOW TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO  
THE LOWER 90S, WITH A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST,  
BEFORE VEERING TO THE NORTHWEST IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AS A WEAK  
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION THIS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.  
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 91.  
RH..................77 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING,  
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE, THEN BECOMING WEST  
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1000-2700  
FT AGL, INCREASING TO 5200-7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /9700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/54400 KNOT-FT/.  
GFDI................MISSING.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........28 16 11 20 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............73 80 86 89 91  
RH..............77 65 53 45 38  
20 FT WIND......S 6 SW 5 SW 4 SW 5 W 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 2000 3500 6600 5200  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 9 SW 7 W 8 W 10  
GFDI............M M M M M  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 5 5  
SDSPL KT-FT/100010 15 21 49 41  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.  
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL, DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH, BECOMING EAST 6 TO 7 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-20300 KNOT-FT).  
GFDI................MISSING.  
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........23 21 8 8 7 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............91 85 76 71 69 66  
RH..............37 50 62 71 76 81  
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 4 SW 3 SE 4 SE 3 E 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....2500 BLW100 300 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 10 SW 7 SE 7 SE 7 E 7  
GFDI............M M M M M M  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 6 6  
SDSPL KT-FT/100020 0 2 1 2 2  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 94.  
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS, BECOMING NORTHWEST  
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 3600-5200 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO  
7200-9000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
DECREASING TO 6600 FT AGL LATE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-36800 KNOT-FT).  
GFDI................MISSING.  
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........7 7 4 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............64 70 81 88 92 94  
RH..............90 76 56 40 31 27  
20 FT WIND......S 2 W 2 W 3 NW 4 NW 5 NW 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 200 700 3600 7200 9000  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 SW 3 W 3 W 5 W 6 W 5  
GFDI............M M M M M M  
HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 5 5 6  
SDSPL KT-FT/10001 0 2 18 33 36  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SUNDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MEMORIAL DAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
7 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...EASTLACK  
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN JONES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1810651.0/OAX  
.DELDT 05/25/18  
 
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