346  
AXUS73 KLSX 100257  
DGTLSX  
ILC001-005-009-013-027-051-061-083-117-119-121-133-135-149-157-  
163-189-MOC007-019-027-051-055-071-073-093-099-103-111-113-123-  
127-135-137-139-151-163-173-179-183-186-187-189-205-219-221-510-  
120300-  
 
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO  
957 PM CDT THU AUG 9 2018  
 
...MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS CENTRAL AND  
NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI...  
 
SYNOPSIS...  
 
MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT HAS EXPANDED FURTHER TO THE EAST OVER  
THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. GOVERNOR PARSONS OF MISSOURI DECLARED A  
DROUGHT ALERT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN CENTRAL AND  
NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI: BOONE, CALLAWAY, COLE, KNOX, LEWIS,  
MONITEAU, AND MONROE. EXTREME DROUGHT (D3) CONDITIONS HAVE ALSO  
NOW ENTERED PORTIONS OF BOONE AND KNOX COUNTIES.  
 
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...  
 
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA HAVE CAUSED SEVERAL AGRICULTURAL  
AND HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS.  
 
AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS INCLUDE WORSENING CROP CONDITIONS AND POOR  
PASTURE AND TOPSOIL CONDITIONS. ACCORDING TO THE LATEST UNITED  
STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, SOYBEAN CONDITION WAS RATED 11  
PERCENT VERY POOR AND 22 PERCENT POOR AND CORN CONDITION 20  
PERCENT VERY POOR AND 24 PERCENT POOR IN THE STATE OF MISSOURI.  
PASTURE CONDITION WAS 40 PERCENT VERY POOR AND 33 PERCENT POOR.  
 
SUPPLY OF HAY IS 41 PERCENT VERY SHORT AND 35 PERCENT SHORT, WITH  
STOCK WATER SUPPLY 27 PERCENT VERY SHORT AND 33 PERCENT SHORT.  
SHORT SUPPLIES OF HAY AND WATER, IN ADDITION TO GRASS, HAVE LED TO  
PROBLEMS FEEDING AND WATERING AREA LIVESTOCK.  
 
TOPSOIL MOISTURE SUPPLY WAS RATED 48 PERCENT VERY SHORT AND 37  
PERCENT SHORT, WITH SUBSOIL MOISTURE 47 PERCENT VERY SHORT AND 36  
PERCENT SHORT. ABNORMALLY DRY SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ALSO HELP  
YIELD A HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN  
MISSOURI. THE LATEST KETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI) DEPICTS A  
HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS THESE AREAS INDICATING A DRY GROUND COVER  
THAT WILL BURN READILY.  
 
HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS INCLUDE LOW STREAMFLOWS, LOWERING WELL  
LEVELS, AND DRYING PONDS. FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION, PLEASE  
SEE THE HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK BELOW.  
 
CLIMATE SUMMARY...  
 
TEMPERATURES HAVE RUN ABOUT 2-5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL SINCE THE  
START OF METEOROLOGICAL SUMMER (JUNE 1ST). PRECIPITATION HAS ALSO  
RUN BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL ACROSS PORTIONS OF MISSOURI.  
HIGHEST PRECIPITATION DEFICITS IN THAT SAME TIMEFRAME ARE ON THE  
ORDER OF 2-7 INCHES FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN  
MISSOURI.  
 
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...  
 
THE OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) FOR THE NEXT  
6-10 DAYS FAVORS NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL  
PRECIPITATION.  
 
IN THE WEEK 2 TIMEFRAME, THE CPC CONTINUES TO FAVOR NEAR NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES, ALONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE  
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  
 
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...  
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OVER THE PAST WEEK WERE HIGHLY VARIABLE ACROSS  
EASTERN MISSOURI. HEAVIEST TOTALS OF 1-2+ INCHES FELL ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI. MEANWHILE,  
MUCH OF CENTRAL MISSOURI EXPERIENCED VERY LITTLE RAINFALL, WITH  
SOME LOCATIONS UNDER A QUARTER OF AN INCH. SEVEN-DAY AVERAGE  
STREAMFLOWS REMAINED BELOW THE 20TH PERCENTILE ON THE SALT RIVER  
AT HAGERS GROVE, THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA, AND BEAR CREEK AT  
HANNIBAL. SOME IMPROVEMENT WAS OBSERVED HOWEVER WHERE HEAVIER  
RAINS FELL, INCLUDING ON THE ST. FRANCIS, LITTLE ST. FRANCIS, AND  
CUIVRE RIVERS.  
 
WELL DEPTHS IN NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI EXHIBITED SMALL  
RECOVERIES A FEW LOCATIONS, THOUGH MOST WERE CLOSE TO THE LOWEST  
VALUES OF THE YEAR, GENERALLY REACHED WITHIN THE PAST COUPLE OF  
WEEKS. WELLS OVER SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI CONTINUED FALLING TO NEW  
LOW LEVELS FOR THE YEAR.  
 
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...  
 
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND  
THURSDAY AUGUST 16TH, 2018.  
 

 
 
RELATED WEB SITES...  
 
LOCAL WEATHER, CLIMATE, AND WATER INFORMATION:  
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAINTLOUIS  
 
MIDWEST CLIMATE CENTER DROUGHT INFORMATION PAGE:  
HTTP://MCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU/CLIWATCH/DROUGHT/DROUGHT.JSP  
 
MISSOURI STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:  
HTTP://CLIMATE.MISSOURI.EDU  
MISSOURI DNR DROUGHT PAGE:  
HTTP://WWW.DNR.MO.GOV/ENV/WRC/DROUGHTUPDATE.HTM  
 
ILLINOIS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:  
HTTP://WWW.ISWS.ILLINOIS.EDU/ATMOS/STATECLI  
ILLINOIS WATER SURVEY DROUGHT PAGE:  
HTTP://WWW.ISWS.ILLINOIS.EDU/HILITES/DROUGHT/  
 
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:  
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/  
 
U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL:  
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV  
 
ADDITIONAL WATER INFORMATION:  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ADVANCED HYDROLOGICAL PREDICTION  
SERVICE (AHPS): HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV  
U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV  
ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS: HTTP://WWW.NWO.USACE.ARMY.MIL/  
 
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER:  
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/  
 
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...  
 
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS A WEEKLY COLLABORATIVE EFFORT BETWEEN  
A NUMBER OF STATE AND FEDERAL AGENCIES INCLUDING THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE, THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, AND THE  
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER.  
 
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...  
 
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS INFORMATION,  
PLEASE CONTACT:  
 
JAYSON GOSSELIN OR  
MARK BRITT  
CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINTS  
--OR--  
MARK FUCHS  
SENIOR SERVICE HYDROLOGIST  
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MISSOURI  
636-441-8467  
W-LSX.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV  
 

 
 
GOSSELIN  
 
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