616  
AXUS73 KPAH 161615  
DGTPAH  
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-  
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-  
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-  
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-211200-  
 
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
1015 AM CST FRI NOV 16 2012  
   
..EVEN WITH RAIN...IMPROVEMENTS ARE SLOW  
 
SYNOPSIS...  
 
VERY SLOW IMPROVEMENTS CONTINUED ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE PAST  
MONTH AS A LATE FALL WEATHER PATTERN HAS EMERGED. THE ONLY SEVERE  
DROUGHT /D2/ REMAINS ACROSS THE BETTER PART OF THE PURCHASE AREA OF  
WEST KENTUCKY. MODERATE DROUGHT TO ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS EXIST  
ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION.  
 
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...  
 
SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.  
SOIL MOISTURE HAS IMPROVED GREATLY WITH MOST PLACES RECOVERING TO  
NEAR NORMAL LEVELS  
 
AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.  
WHILE SOME PASTURES ARE RATED POOR OR VERY POOR...MANY HAVE IMPROVED  
TO FAIR OR ADEQUATE CONDITION.  
 
FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.  
IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT AS OF OCTOBER 1...THE OFFICIAL FALL  
FIRE SEASON BEGAN. IT ONLY TAKES A COUPLE OF DRY DAYS WITH LOWER  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR CONDITIONS TO DETERIORATE.  
 
CLIMATE SUMMARY...  
 
AT PADUCAH KENTUCKY...1.42 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN NOVEMBER.  
THIS IS 0.55 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. SINCE SEPTEMBER 1...9.40 INCHES  
HAS FALLEN...0.28 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. SINCE JANUARY 1... 25.52  
INCHES HAS FALLEN...16.64 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.  
 
AT EVANSVILLE INDIANA...1.08 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN NOVEMBER.  
THIS IS 0.95 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. SINCE SEPTEMBER 1...11.58 INCHES  
HAS FALLEN...3.25 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL. SINCE JANUARY 1... 29.55  
INCHES HAS FALLEN...9.70 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.  
 
AT CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI...1.24 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN  
NOVEMBER. THIS IS 0.84 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. SINCE SEPTEMBER  
1...10.02 INCHES HAS FALLEN...0.87 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL. SINCE  
JANUARY 1... 25.20 INCHES HAS FALLEN...15.00 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.  
 
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...  
 
A FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR  
SO WITH SEASONAL DAYS AND CHILLY NIGHTS. NO STORM SYSTEM WITH  
SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS FORECAST AT THIS TIME.  
 
THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...FOR NOVEMBER 23 THROUGH 29...CALLS FOR  
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.  
DURING THIS TIME...NORMAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE 41 TO 46 DEGREES.  
NORMAL TOTAL PRECIPITATION DURING THIS TIME PERIOD IS AROUND ONE  
INCH.  
 
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...  
 
AS OF NOVEMBER 16...STREAMFLOWS THROUGH SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...THE  
LOWER OHIO...LOWER WABASH...TENNESSEE AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER  
VALLEYS ARE RUNNING NEAR NORMAL.  
 
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...  
 
WITH THE AGRICULTURAL SEASON WINDING DOWN AND A TRANSITION TO AUTUMN  
CONTINUING...DROUGHT OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED MONTHLY. UPDATES MAY BE  
ISSUED IF SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IS SEEN OR DETERIORATION BEGINS  
AGAIN.  
 
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...IF NEEDED...WILL BE ISSUED  
BY FRIDAY...DECEMBER 21.  
 
 
 
RELATED WEB SITES...  
 
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES ARE AVAILABLE FOR FURTHER WEATHER AND  
DROUGHT INFORMATION (ADDRESSES SHOULD BE IN LOWER CASE)...  
 
LOCAL WEATHER...CLIMATE AND WATER INFORMATION...  
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/PADUCAH  
UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR...  
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU  
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM...  
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV  
MIDWEST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...  
HTTP://MRCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU/CLIWATCH/WATCH.HTM  
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...  
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV  
USDA NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE...  
HTTP://WWW.NASS.USDA.GOV  
USGS STREAMFLOW INFORMATION...  
HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV  
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE...  
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=PAH  
 
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...  
 
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE  
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL  
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN  
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...COOPERATIVE NETWORK  
STATIONS...THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...AND THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF  
ENGINEERS.  
 
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...  
 
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION  
PLEASE CONTACT...  
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
8250 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 3520  
WEST PADUCAH KY 42086  
PHONE: 270-744-6440  
W-PAH.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV  
 
 
 
LAMM  
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