938
FNUS73 KPAH 091359
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR JOHNSON CO LANDFILL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
759 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON NOVEMBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DESPITE THE ABSENCE OF ANY PRECIPITATION...FAVORABLE
WEATHER CONDITONS TODAY WILL BE MARGINAL FOR FIRE WEATHER AGENCIES.
MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES TODAY WILL SLOW THE RATE
OF WARMING TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF THE SLOWER DIURNAL
CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST TWENTY FOOT
AND TRANSPORT WINDS...WILL HOLD MIXING HEIGHTS WITHIN TWO TO
FOUR HUNDRED FEET OF THE 1700 FOOT MIXING HEIGHT THRESHOLD UNTIL THE
MID AFTERNOON HOURS. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM DAYTIME RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL STAY ABOVE 35 TO 45 PERCENT TODAY.
A WEAKENING COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO THE HEARTLAND
FROM THE NORTH THIS EVENING...EVENTUALLY WORKING THROUGH THE REGION
BY MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE MARK TWAIN AND SHAWNEE
NATIONAL FOREST AREAS WILL IMPROVE ON TUESDAY...BUT WILL REMAIN
MARGINAL ACROSS SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. A SMALL
CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES OR DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR WESTERN
KENTUCKY ON TUESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE HEARTLAND FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY...BEFORE THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM AND A CHANCE OF RAIN
MOVES INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........LOW 5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME. FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............68 68 69 69 67 64
RH..............51 48 46 46 48 57
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 14 MPH.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP............60 57 55 53 52 51
RH..............63 70 75 80 83 86
20 FT WIND......E 2 E 1 NE 1 NE 1 NE 2 NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 11 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 23
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP............50 57 64 65
RH..............89 75 59 55
20 FT WIND......NE 2G5 NE 5 N 6G10 N 8G20
HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 5
FORECASTER...HOOPER
REQUESTED BY...JON TEUTRINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091109.JOHNS.01/PAH
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