948
FNUS73 KPAH 142010
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRANDON CHAPEL...USFS LBL NAT REC AREA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
210 PM CST SAT NOV 14 2009
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1353 CST ON NOVEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RELATIVELY LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS.
THE SOUTH WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY BRING HIGHER HUMIDITY TO WESTERN
KENTUCKY...BUT NOT UNTIL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SUNSHINE WILL BE
FILTERED BY HIGH CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN
THE LOWER 70S AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR 35
PERCENT.
HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER BACK TO NEAR 50 PERCENT BY 6 PM...80
PERCENT BY MIDNIGHT...AND NEAR 100 PERCENT BY SUNRISE SUNDAY. IN
COMPARISON...LAST NIGHTS HUMIDITY RECOVERED TO 88 PERCENT FROM A
LOW OF 32 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY OVERSPREAD THE LBL REGION
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........72 AT REQUEST...MAX 75.
RH..................39 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 2200-2600 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH.
TIME (CST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............72 74 69 64
RH..............39 35 37 44
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 5
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR LOW TO VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP............58 54 52 50 50 49
RH..............53 66 74 80 83 86
20 FT WIND......S 2 S 2 SW 2 SW 1 SW 1 SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700-3500 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP............48 56 66 69
RH..............93 86 63 55
20 FT WIND......S 1G5 SE 2G5 SE 4G5 SE 3G5
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2
FORECASTER...PRESLEY
REQUESTED BY...REGINA ROBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20091114.BRAND.03/PAH
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