272  
FNUS73 KPAH 231319  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OATSVILLE...U.S FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
819 AM CDT THU MAR 23 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST, REACHING THE MID  
ATLANTIC COAST BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PRODUCE A SOUTHERLY  
LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW, WHICH WILL BRING MILDER AIR INTO THE REGION.  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY  
NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION.  
DIMINISHING PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND CONTINUED MILD CONDITIONS  
ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY. A WET PATTERN WILL SET UP FOR EARLY NEXT  
WEEK.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.  
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1000-2600  
FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 9 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 0 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............51 56 59  
RH..............44 40 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2600 2000  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 5 0  
HAINES INDEX....4 3 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.  
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 56 56 56 55 54  
RH..............45 55 66 69 74 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 14 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 800 1000 1100 1600 2400  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.0 0 0 0 0 0  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.  
RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 35 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 55 59 63 67 70  
RH..............83 83 78 72 65 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 13 14 16 17 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1800 2000 2900 3500 3300  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.0 0 0 0 13 35  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...TREVINO  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN WINTERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1705047.0/PAH  
.EMAIL BRIAN_WINTERS@FWS.GOV  
 
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