807  
FNUS53 KGRR 290757  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
357 AM EDT MON MAY 29 2017  
 
...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED STORM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER LOW  
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WHAT THIS MEANS IS WE WILL SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS  
DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON BEFORE FADING DURING THE EVENING. ENOUGH  
INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT TODAY FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL  
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGHS TODAY WILL REACH THE 70S ONCE AGAIN  
BEFORE COOLING INTO THE 60S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-292015-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
357 AM EDT MON MAY 29 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400, THEN SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 42-47  
PERCENT INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 16  
PERCENT DRIER INLAND.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
9100-9600 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO WEST  
AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....4000-4200 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN, 1700-2200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT....... INLAND, 5500-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO  
2400-2900 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 800 (EXCELLENT)  
OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 46-51  
PERCENT INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 5 PERCENT  
WETTER INLAND.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
6800-7300 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2300 (EXCELLENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ040-046-292015-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
357 AM EDT MON MAY 29 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400, THEN SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 27  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11600-12100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO WEST  
AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....4300-4600 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3100-3600 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 900 (EXCELLENT)  
OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26  
MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....2100-2200 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-292015-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
357 AM EDT MON MAY 29 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400, THEN SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN, 2700-3200 FT AGL INCREASING  
TO 5800-6300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT....... INLAND, 9600-10100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....3100-3300 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN, 1400-1900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT....... INLAND, 4300-4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO  
1400-1900 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1400.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
7600-8100 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1900 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2500 (EXCELLENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-292015-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
357 AM EDT MON MAY 29 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400, THEN SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11800-12300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO WEST  
AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....4300-4700 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500-2000 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....2000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)  
OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1400.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29  
MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-7600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....2200-2500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-292015-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
357 AM EDT MON MAY 29 2017  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400, THEN SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11400-11900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO WEST  
AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....3700-3800 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)  
OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1400.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-8500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....2200-2500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
 

 
 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 11 TO  
16 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
6 TO 11 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING,  
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS  
AROUND 70.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND  
50.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
 

 
 
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