623  
FNUS53 KGRR 031849  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
249 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017  
   
..THIS WILL BE THE LAST FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FOR THIS SEASON
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
EXPECT MORE RAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN AGAIN SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON, MOSTLY  
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-040815-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
249 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS  
UNTIL 0900. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200,  
THEN RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.30 IN.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2400.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL  
1100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400, THEN  
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.22 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ040-046-040815-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
249 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS  
UNTIL 1000. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400,  
THEN RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-500 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.24 IN.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 2400, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2400.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL  
1100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400, THEN  
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.18 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-040815-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
249 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
UNTIL 1000, THEN RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400 UNTIL 1700.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.41 IN.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 2100, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL  
2300. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2400.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL  
1100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400, THEN  
RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.55 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-040815-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
249 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200, THEN RAIN SHOWERS.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400 UNTIL  
1700.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.34 IN.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL  
2300. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2300. AREAS  
OF FOG AFTER 2400.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL  
1100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400, THEN  
RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.30 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-040815-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
249 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
UNTIL 1200, THEN RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1700.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.39 IN.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 2300, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2400.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL  
1100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1400, THEN  
RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.28-0.61 IN.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 8 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
9 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
 

 
 
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