308
FNUS73 KGRR 101119
FWSGRR
SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWIN FUELS 3...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
719 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (616) 949-5150, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT WINDS FROM THE NW ARE LIKELY AT IGNITION TIME.
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH PARTIAL CLOUD DEVELOPMENT
THIS AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH LATE IN
THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6500 FT
AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH
LATE IN THE DAY.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....80 /POOR/ AT IGNITION. MAX...930 /EXCELLENT/.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM
SKY (%).........36 38 54 31 22 38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............52 59 61 63 63 60
RH..............71 55 46 41 39 46
20 FT WIND......NW 5 W 8 W 10 W 10 W 10 SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 13 14 15 15 12
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 5300 6500 6400 5800 1900
MIXING WIND.....W 6 NW 10 W 12 W 13 W 16 W 12
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3
SMOKE DISPRSL...80 550 750 810 930 220
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH THROUGH ABOUT 2 AM, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 9 MPH LATE AT NIGHT
INCREASING TO 9 TO 10 MPH TOWARD DAYBREAK.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO
16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....220 (FAIR) EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
60 (POOR) LATE IN THE NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
FORECASTER...HOVING
REQUESTED BY...STEARNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413681.0/GRR
.DELDT 05/10/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.STEARNS@USDA.GOV
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