190  
FNUS73 KLMK 241442  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ANTOICH...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY  
1042 AM EDT FRI MAR 24 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH CLOUDS  
INCREASING FROM THE WEST AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. WINDS WILL PICK  
UP OUT OF THE SOUTH LATE THIS MORNING AND BE QUITE GUSTY AT TIMES, WITH GUSTS  
AROUND 25MPH. DEW POINTS AND RESULTING RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD DROP A BIT LOWER  
THAN FORECAST AROUND MID DAY, HOWEVER WILL QUICKLY RECOVER ONCE HEAVIER CLOUD  
COVER MOVES IN THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE IN FROM THE WEST  
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AND LAST THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY. MOST AREAS COULD  
PICK UP TO A HALF INCH OF RAIN BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. MORE ACTIVE AND WET  
WEATHER LOOKS POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK AS WELL.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 28 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (53500-79800 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................61 INCREASING TO 69 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DSI.................1.  
 
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........72 85 85 84 84  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............65 67 69 70 71  
RH..............55 51 50 52 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 26 28 28 28  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............56 59 65 68 70  
VRATE KT-FT/100054 59 68 76 80  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1200 FT AGL  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (39200-78700 KNOT-FT)  
DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (11700-27800  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................67 DECREASING TO 16.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM  
SKY (%).........83 83 82 83 83 83 84 84 84 85 86 87  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............70 68 67 65 63 62 62 62 62 62 61 60  
RH..............59 61 63 68 70 72 72 72 72 72 75 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 25 24 23 23 22 20 17 16 16 16 16  
LVORI...........1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
ADI.............67 34 32 15 15 15 18 15 14 14 14 14  
VRATE KT-FT/100079 73 64 52 39 28 20 15 12 12 12 13  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 31 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (8600-45300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (72900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................16 INCREASING TO 83.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM  
SKY (%).........88 89 87 89 93 95 95 97 98 98 97 97  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC  
TEMP............59 59 59 60 62 64 65 66 67 68 69 70  
RH..............80 78 78 78 72 70 68 68 65 63 63 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.7 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 16 21 26 31 31 30 28 28 26 26  
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............13 16 18 30 50 70 79 83 81 84 81 81  
VRATE KT-FT/100010 9 11 23 45 73 92 103 107 115 118 115  
 

 
FORECASTER...BJS  
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY KOLAKS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1705144.0/LMK  
.EMAIL JKOLAKS@FS.FED.US  
 
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