239  
FNUS73 KLMK 111235  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BARFORD LANDING PRESCRIBED BURN...LLOYD A. FOE CONSUSLTING FORESTERS, LLC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY  
835 AM EDT FRI MAY 11 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WARM AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TODAY INTO THIS WEEKEND.  
DEEP MIXING AND MODERATE SW TRANSPORT WINDS WILL PROVIDE EXCELLENT  
SMOKE DISPERSAL. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN MONDAY.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 87.  
RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...  
OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...  
MAX 5300-5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /27100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.  
MAX...EXCELLENT (106400 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................39 AT IGNITION...MAX 80 THIS AFTERNOON.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........30 27 25 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............74 80 83 85  
RH..............69 54 47 45  
20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 8 SW 10 SW 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 4300 5800 5600  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 W 21 SW 23 SW 23  
DISPERSION......2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1  
ADI.............39 80 75 74  
VRATE KT-FT/100027 77 116 113  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68.  
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (56600-88800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO  
POOR (8500-14200 KNOT-FT) THIS EVENING.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................67 DECREASING TO 13.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........20 18 24 30 36 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............84 80 75 73 70 69  
RH..............46 52 62 64 73 76  
20 FT WIND......SW 10 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 6 SW 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....4400 800 800 700 400 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23 SW 17 SW 16 SW 22 SW 23 SW 24  
DISPERSION......2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 3 3  
ADI.............67 12 11 15 10 16  
VRATE KT-FT/100089 12 11 14 9 10  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88.  
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5600-6700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (105000-122000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................MAX 83 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DSI.................3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........33 31 40 44 50 50  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............68 69 76 83 87 88  
RH..............76 76 62 51 45 45  
20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 7 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 25 20 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 3400 5200 5800 6700  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 W 23 W 28 W 26 W 21 SW 21  
DISPERSION......2 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............16 18 72 83 68 72  
VRATE KT-FT/100011 12 84 121 105 122  
 

 
FORECASTER...RAS  
REQUESTED BY...LLOYD A. FOE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1809695.0/LMK  
.EMAIL LLOYDFOE@TWC.COM  
 
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