769  
FNUS73 KLMK 151136  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RIDDLE RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY  
736 AM EDT MON APR 15 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON APRIL 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A COLD FRONT WILL SINK SOUTHWARD FROM CENTRAL  
INDIANA TO THE OHIO RIVER TODAY. SCATTERED CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP  
THIS MORNING, AND MAY GROW INTO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE  
AFTERNOON. THE BEST TIMING FOR THE MOST WIDESPREAD STORMS LOOKS TO  
BE FROM 6PM TO 9PM EDT.  
 
WINDS WON'T BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS YESTERDAY, WITH TRANSPORT WINDS  
COMING IN FROM THE WEST AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS MUCH OF THE DAY  
BEFORE BECOMING MORE VARIABLE AS THE FRONT APPROACHES TOWARDS  
EVENING. HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY AS WELL.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY  
(50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 87.  
RH..................81 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...RISING TO 6600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /3500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/52900 KNOT-FT/.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 73 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 8 15 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 8  
WEATHER COV..... SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
TEMP............63 62 65 70 74 77 82 84 85 87 86  
RH..............81 86 80 72 67 62 53 49 44 42 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.7 3.6 4.6 5.7 6.6 6.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 9  
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............10 9 10 15 21 28 29 32 35 43 73  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 6 10 15 21 25 32 40 53 53  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62.  
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO  
8 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (39500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................57 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........15 29 59 49 50 74 70 62 68 75 68 75  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
TEMP............86 85 79 76 72 70 67 66 65 65 64 64  
RH..............42 43 55 59 70 76 84 87 87 87 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W E NE NE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 2 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 4 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW S S SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 8 8  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 5 6 5 6 6 6  
ADI.............57 4 6 4 5 3 3 3 5 3 4 5  
SDSPL KT-FT/100040 21 5 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82.  
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5  
TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (95800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 93 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........72 76 80 81 82 83 77 72 66 63 60 57  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............64 62 64 65 68 70 72 74 77 79 82 82  
RH..............87 93 87 87 78 73 68 62 54 49 41 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 7 9 10 11 11 11 12 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.9 3.7 4.4 4.8 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 10 12 13 15 17 20 22 23 23  
LVORI...........5 6 5 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............5 7 10 11 12 20 37 54 70 85 93 92  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 4 5 8 14 26 44 63 83 96 93  
 

 
FORECASTER...13  
REQUESTED BY...DARON REYNOLDS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2410844.0/LMK  
.DELDT 04/15/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DARON.REYNOLDS@USDA.GOV  
 
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