664
FNUS73 KPAH 241502
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMPGROUND PILES...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
902 AM CST TUE NOV 24 2009
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0825 CST ON NOVEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NOT A GOOD BURN DAY TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND MIDDAY. THEN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. AT THAT TIME...MARGINAL BURN CONDITIONS WILL
BECOME WORSE...AS MIXING HEIGHTS WILL DROP CLOSE TO THE GROUND IN
THE PRECIPITATION.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.
RH..................85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2300-3800
FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 29
TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TEMP............52 52 54 56 58 57 56 54 54 54
RH..............93 94 85 79 72 78 83 88 89 96
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1600-1900 FT AGL
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 28 MPH.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP............51 48 46 45 44 43
RH..............100 96 93 86 86 86
20 FT WIND......S 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10
HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 2 2
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54.
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-4000 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............42 46 51 53
RH..............86 79 71 64
20 FT WIND......SW 6G10 W 7G10 W 7G20 W 6G10
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3
FORECASTER...SPAETH
REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091124.CAMPG.01/PAH
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