240
FNUS73 KSGF 011228
FWSSGF
SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT SCOTT ABC...USFWS FOR NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
728 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND WILL CONTINUE TODAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. DRY WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND
UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10
MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL AT
IGNITION...MAXIMUM 4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE
TEMP............80 80
RH..............49 52
20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15 10
MIX HGT (FT)....4200 4600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17 SE 16
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10
HAINES INDEX....3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 81 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND SHIFT..........10 PM.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............80 73 62 56 52 48
RH..............55 64 74 77 77 78
20 FT WIND......SE 5 E 5 N 6 N 8 N 10 N 11
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 20 25
MIX HGT (FT)....4900 3500 600 600 1000 1200
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 13 E 12 N 10 N 14 N 18
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 50 50 60 60
HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 76 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....80 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 36 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............44 42 41 41 41 40
RH..............84 88 87 85 80 76
20 FT WIND......N 11 N 11 N 13 N 12 N 12 N 13
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 30 30 30
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1800 2100 2300 2300 2200
TRANSPORT WIND..N 25 N 29 N 30 N 31 N 32 N 35
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 80 80 80
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN. CHANCE OF SNOW. RAIN
LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 78 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
30 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....90 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 37 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....PERIOD DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN
TEMP............39 38 36 35 37 36 36 35 35 36 42 46
RH..............79 83 87 90 83 82 82 88 93 87 70 63
20 FT WIND......N 12 N 10 N 10 N 9 N 9 N 9 N 8 N 8 NW 9 N 9 N 9 N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 20 20 15 20 15 15 20 20 20 20
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1300 1000 900 900 800 700 500 700 3200 5100 5500
TRANSPORT WIND..N 37 N 37 N 37 N 36 N 33 N 31 N 28 N 25 N 23 N 20 N 17 NW 14
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 80 80 80 80 80 60 60 50 50 50 50
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3
FORECASTER...FOSTER
REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130501.FORTS.01/SGF
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