689  
FXUS63 KGID 222324  
AFDGID  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
624 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 301 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017  
 
TODAY SHOULD BE THE LAST DAY OF THE HEAT WAVE. I DIDN'T MAKE ANY  
CHANGES TO THE HEAT ADVISORY OR HEAT WARNING. A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL  
DISTURBANCE HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL NEBRASKA.  
 
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS LOCATED ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS, AS EVIDENCED  
BY A LINE OF CUMULUS FROM STOCKTON TO BELOIT. THUNDERSTORMS  
SHOULD DEVELOP IN THIS VICINITY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SHORT-  
TERM RAP SOUNDINGS SHOW 1000-2000J OF CAPE AND 30 KTS OF BULK  
SHEAR IN THIS VICINITY, SO AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM ISN'T OUT OF  
THE QUESTION. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SHIFT  
SOUTH WITH THE FRONT TONIGHT.  
 
SUNDAY SHOULD REMAIN DRY AND COOLER AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO  
THE AREA. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO "ONLY" BE IN THE LOW 90S.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 301 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017  
 
EARLY NEXT WEEK, MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY,  
WITH DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY REBOUNDING BACK INTO THE  
MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S.  
 
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY AS A  
LARGE UPPER LOW TRACKS ACROSS CANADA, PUSHING A FRONT THROUGH THE  
GREAT PLAINS.  
 
AS HAS BEEN THE CASE SEVERAL TIMES THIS SUMMER, THIS FRONT LOOKS  
LIKE IT WILL STALL OUT IN OUR VICINITY, GIVING US A POTENTIAL FOR  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND EVEN INTO FRIDAY, PRIMARILY  
ACROSS KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHERN NEBRASKA. RIGHT NOW, WE'RE ONLY  
LOOKING AT HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S THROUGH  
THIS STRETCH.  
 
LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF SHOW THE  
WESTERN RIDGE AMPLIFYING A BIT, WHICH SHOULD LIMIT PRECIPITATION  
CHANCES AND POTENTIALLY GIVE US ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAT AS IT SHIFTS  
EASTWARD EARLY INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 622 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017  
 
THE NORTH WIND WILL DIE DOWN AFTER SUNSET AND COULD EVEN BECOME  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES TONIGHT. OVERALL THE WIND WILL REMAIN  
FAIRLY LIGHT AGAIN TOMORROW AND WILL PREDOMINATELY BE OUT OF THE  
NORTH OR NORTHEAST. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH JUST SOME  
HIGH CLOUDS AROUND TONIGHT AND THEN MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TOMORROW.  
 

 
   
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NE...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...MANGELS  
LONG TERM...MANGELS  
AVIATION...WESELY  
 
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